Match Info

League One - Round 19

Date: 27 December 2025, Saturday

Location: Links Park (Montrose)


	Montrose		Inverness

	1	X	2
	5.75	3.8	1.48
	5.7	4.25	1.47
	6.6	4.16	1.48	Watch
	6	3.9	1.5
	5.98	3.95	1.54	Watch
	5.5	4	1.52
Avarage Now (Initially)	5.92 ↓ (5.93)	4.01 ↑ (3.88)	1.5 ↓ (1.5)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 6.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Montrose
15.6%

Draw
23%

Inverness
61.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

15.4%

23.6%

60.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

13.6%

26.7%

69%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Montrose has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.2%)

Inverness has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Montrose than the current prediction. (-2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Inverness than the current prediction. (+7.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Inverness could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
50%	0%	50%

Montrose - Inverness Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Montrose will win (votes: 2 - 50%). Inverness will win (votes: 2 - 50%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

1X2, 1st Half - Montrose (6.26) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Montrose (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Gill C. (G) 2. Williamson R. 4. Quinn A. 14. Dillon S. 3. Steeves A. 6. Masson T. 12. Freeman K. 8. Sandilands C. 7. Webster G. 9. Loudon E. 11. Lyons B.	1. Munro R. (G) 2. Millen R. 6. Devine D. 5. Savage R. 12. Robertson M. 14. MacLeod C. 7. Allan P. 19. Stewart A. 18. Chalmers J. 11. Longstaff L. 9. McKay B.
Substitutes
20. Bertie K. 22. Brown C. 21. Campbell M. (G) 24. Clark R. 16. May C. 19. McClements K. 23. Mochrie A. 15. Stevenson G. 5. Waddell K.	22. Alonge J. 36. Bavidge A. 3. MacIntyre O. 8. Mackinnon A. 21. Ross L. (G) 17. Sole L. 32. Thompson S. 10. Wotherspoon D. 23. Zimba C.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
3', 0 - 1, Stewart A. ⚽,
42', Longstaff L. 🟨,
2nd Half (2 - 0)
62', 1 - 1, Lyons B. ⚽,
63', Millen R. 🟥,
67', 🟨,
69', Masson T. ↓, Brown C. ↑,
70', Williamson R. ↓, Waddell K. ↑,
74', 2 - 1, Dillon S. ⚽,
75', McKay B. ↓, Zimba C. ↑,
76', Longstaff L. ↓, Bavidge A. ↑,
76', Stewart A. ↓, MacIntyre O. ↑,
82', Gill C. 🟨,
84', Lyons B. ↓, Stevenson G. ↑,
85', Robertson M. ↓, Alonge J. ↑,
85', Allan P. ↓, Sole L. ↑,
90+4', Loudon E. ↓, May C. ↑,

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Montrose won 0.

At the moment, both teams are looking strong and ready to play.

Montrose may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Recently, Inverness has had a series of away games.

In this match, Inverness is the obvious favorite.

In the last 8 head-to-head matches, Montrose won 0 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 4:10. (average 0.5:1.3).

Including home matches between the teams, Montrose won 0 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 2:6. (average 0.5:1.5).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Montrose FC
Scottish Challenge Cup
22.12.25	Montrose - Spartans	2:1 ✺
Scottish League One
20.12.25	Queen of the South - Montrose	1:0 ✺
13.12.25	Montrose - Stenhousemuir	3:0 ✺
06.12.25	Kelty Hearts - Montrose	0:3 ✺
Scottish Cup
29.11.25	Benburb - Montrose	0:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.8 WLWWW
- Inverness CT
Scottish League One
20.12.25	Stenhousemuir - Inverness	1:0 ✺
Scottish Challenge Cup
16.12.25	Dumbarton - Inverness	0:9 ✺
Scottish League One
13.12.25	Inverness - Hamilton Academical	4:0 ✺
Scottish Cup
10.12.25	Tranent Juniors - Inverness	1:2 ✺
Scottish League One
25.11.25	Alloa Athletic - Inverness	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.3 LWWWT

Latest Head to Head

Scottish League One
01.11.25	Inverness - Montrose	1:0
23.08.25	Montrose - Inverness	0:2
03.05.25	Montrose - Inverness	0:2
01.03.25	Inverness - Montrose	1:1
07.12.24	Montrose - Inverness	2:2
17.08.24	Inverness - Montrose	1:1
Scottish Football Championship
11.05.24	Inverness - Montrose	1:0

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