Match Info

SCOTLAND: LEAGUE ONE - ROUND 21

Date: 13 January 2024, Saturday


	Montrose		Stirling Albion

	1	X	2
	2.15	3.5	2.9
	2.2	3.1	2.85
	2.3	3.3	2.9	Watch
	2.36	3.34	2.92
	2.36	3.34	2.93
	2.2	3.2	2.88
	2.32	3.3	2.95	Watch
	2.22	3.35	2.95
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.26 ↑ (1.8)	3.3 ↓ (4)	2.91 ↓ (3.5)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 6.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Montrose
40.6%

Draw
27.8%

Stirling Albion
31.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

50.9%

22.9%

26.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

52.2%

22.3%

25.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Montrose has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-10.3%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Montrose's form might have worsened.

Stirling Albion has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.4%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Stirling Albion's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Montrose than the current prediction. (+11.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Montrose, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Stirling Albion than the current prediction. (-6.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Stirling Albion, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
40%	0%	60%

Montrose - Stirling Albion Predictions

Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Montrose will win (votes: 2 - 40%). Stirling will win (votes: 3 - 60%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Gill C. (G) 4. Quinn A. 14. Dillon S. 18. Graham L. 2. Williamson R. 17. Shrive A. 8. Watson P. 11. Lyons B. 3. Steeves A. 12. Hermiston B. 7. Webster G.	1. Currie B. (G) 5. McGregor J. 6. Cummins A. 4. McLean P. 3. Clark C. 24. Milne L. 12. Banner K. 30. Crane C. 11. Moore K. 25. Hilson D. 9. Carrick D.
Substitutes
16. Batchelor C. 6. Bradford R. 22. Brown C. 19. Callaghan L. 15. Cochrane J. 20. Craig H. 21. Matthews R. (G) 5. Paton I.	21. Cooper J. 7. Dunsmore A. 2. McGeachie R. 20. Miller M. 19. Offord K. 22. Spence G. 17. White C. 16. Wilson E.

Preview

Last 5 head-to-head matches Montrose won 4.

Both teams are now playing unstable.

Montrose could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Montrose will have a poor advantage in this game.

Last 21 head-to-head matches Montrose won 7 matches, drawn 6 matches, lost 8 matches and goals 25-32.

Including matches at home between the teams Montrose won 3 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 10-13.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Montrose FC
Scottish League One
06.01.24	Annan Athletic - Montrose	2:2 ✺
30.12.23	Montrose - Cove Rangers	1:1 ✺
23.12.23	Alloa Athletic - Montrose	2:2 ✺
16.12.23	Kelty Hearts - Montrose	0:1 ✺
09.12.23	Montrose - Queen of the South	1:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9 TTTWL
- Stirling Albion
Scottish League One
30.12.23	Falkirk - Stirling Albion	5:0 ✺
23.12.23	Stirling Albion - Queen of the South	1:1 ✺
16.12.23	Stirling Albion - Annan Athletic	1:1 ✺
09.12.23	Edinburgh City - Stirling Albion	1:3 ✺
Scottish Cup
25.11.23	Stirling Albion - Cove Rangers	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.6 LTTWL

Latest Head to Head

Scottish League One
23.09.23	Montrose - Stirling Albion	1:0
Scottish Challenge Cup
04.09.21	Montrose - Stirling Albion	1:0
Scottish League Cup
10.11.20	Stirling Albion - Montrose	2:1
Scottish League Two
07.04.18	Stirling Albion - Montrose	0:5
27.01.18	Montrose - Stirling Albion	2:1
23.12.17	Stirling Albion - Montrose	0:1
16.09.17	Montrose - Stirling Albion	1:3

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