Match Info

SCOTLAND: League One - Round 22

Date: 25 January 2025, Saturday

Location: Galabank (Annan)


	Annan Athletic		Montrose

	1	X	2
	2.5	3.2	2.6
	2.45	3.1	2.5
	2.44	2.95	2.49
	2.61	3.21	2.7
	2.59	3.26	2.69	Watch
	2.62	3.1	2.75
	2.54	3.25	2.57	Watch
	2.44	2.95	2.49
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.52 ↓ (2.6)	3.13 ↑ (3.1)	2.6 ↑ (2.42)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 6.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Annan Athletic
36%

Draw
29%

Montrose
35%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

34.3%

28.8%

36.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

36.4%

27.1%

34.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Annan Athletic has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.7%)

Montrose has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Annan Athletic than the current prediction. (+0.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Montrose than the current prediction. (-0.2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
20%	60%	20%

Annan Athletic - Montrose Predictions

Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Annan will win (votes: 1 - 20%). Montrose will win (votes: 1 - 20%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 60%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Smith J. (G) 19. Maxwell C. 33. Gibson W. 6. Breen R. 3. Quitongo R. 8. Todd J. 16. Smith P. 7. McGowan P. 4. Dixon J. 23. Ross L. 5. Muir T. (C)	1. Gill C. (G) 4. Quinn A. 14. Dillon S. (C) 19. McKenzie B. 12. Freeman K. 17. Shrive A. 23. Machado M. 16. Sandilands C. 20. Bertie K. 9. Stirton O. 11. Lyons B.
Substitutes
22. Bell S. 11. Carmichael D. 12. Fleming G. (G) 18. Fleming K. 2. Hooper S. 14. Muir R. 21. Stevenson J.	22. Brown C. 21. Clark A. (G) 15. Maciver-Redwood B. 24. Pollard L. 3. Steeves A. 8. Watson P.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 2)
9', 0 - 1, Stirton O. ⚽,
19', 0 - 2, Lyons B. ⚽,
2nd Half (2 - 0)
46', Quitongo R. ↓, Hooper S. ↑,
71', 1 - 2, Muir T. ⚽, Smith P. (A),
76', McKenzie B. ↓, Watson P. ↑,
76', Shrive A. ↓, Maciver-Redwood B. ↑,
80', Maxwell C. ↓, Carmichael D. ↑,
83', Freeman K. 🟨,
85', Quinn A. ↓, Steeves A. ↑,
87', Watson P. 🟨,
89', 2 - 2, Muir T. ⚽, Ross L. (A),
90+4', Hooper S. ↓, Fleming K. ↑,

Preview

Last 5 head-to-head matches Annan won 1.

Recent matches Annan is playing mutable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Montrose is in cheap shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

In this match the chances to win of both teams are almost equal.

Last 20 head-to-head matches Annan won 5 matches, drawn 8 matches, lost 7 matches and goals 36:32 (average 1.8:1.6).

Including matches at home between the teams Annan won 3 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 5 matches and goals 20:20 (average 2:2).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Annan Athletic
Scottish League One
18.01.25	Annan Athletic - Inverness	0:3 ✺
04.01.25	Stenhousemuir - Annan Athletic	1:1 ✺
28.12.24	Queen of the South - Annan Athletic	1:1 ✺
21.12.24	Annan Athletic - Arbroath	0:4 ✺
14.12.24	Dumbarton - Annan Athletic	1:5 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.2 LTTLW
- Montrose FC
Scottish Cup
18.01.25	Queens Park - Montrose	3:2 ET ✺
Scottish League One
04.01.25	Montrose - Kelty Hearts	0:0 ✺
28.12.24	Arbroath - Montrose	3:0 ✺
21.12.24	Montrose - Dumbarton	1:2 ✺
14.12.24	Alloa Athletic - Montrose	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.8 LTLLW

Latest Head to Head

Scottish League One
23.11.24	Montrose - Annan Athletic	2:1
05.10.24	Annan Athletic - Montrose	1:0
16.03.24	Montrose - Annan Athletic	1:1
06.01.24	Annan Athletic - Montrose	2:2
11.11.23	Montrose - Annan Athletic	1:1
12.08.23	Annan Athletic - Montrose	1:3
Scottish Cup
27.11.18	Annan Athletic - Montrose	3:4

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