Match Info

Copa de la Liga - Round 2

Date: 21 June 2026, Sunday

Location: Estadio 25 de Noviembre (Moquegua)


	Moquegua		Bentín Tacna Heroica

	1	X	2
	1.70	3.40	4.10
	1.68	3.7	4.65
	1.72	3.19	4.32
	5.34	1.75	2.98	Watch
	1.67	3.40	4.33
	1.64	3.6	4.68	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.29 ↑ (1.67)	3.17 ↓ (3.64)	4.18 ↓ (4.62)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 8.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Moquegua
44%

Draw
31.8%

Bentín Tacna Heroica
24.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

54.9%

25.2%

19.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

54.9%

25.2%

19.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Moquegua has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-10.9%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Moquegua's form might have worsened.

Bentín Tacna Heroica has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Moquegua than the current prediction. (+10.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Moquegua, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Bentín Tacna Heroica than the current prediction. (-4.3%)

Moquegua - Bentín Tacna Heroica Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 2)
1', 1 - 0, Torres R. ⚽,
3', 2 - 0, Negron M. ⚽,
39', 2 - 1, Lopez F. ⚽,
44', 2 - 2, Lopez M. (Penalty Awarded),
2nd Half (1 - 0)
65', 🟥,
84', 3 - 2, Lastre E. ⚽,

Preview

Recent form of Moquegua has been disappointing (last 5 games: 0 wins).

Tacna Heroica has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Tacna Heroica may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Moquegua is a strong favorite.

In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Moquegua won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 4:3. (average 1.3:1).

Including home matches between the teams, Moquegua won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:1. (average 1:0.5).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Deportivo Moquegua
Peruvian Liga 1
29.05.26	Atlético Grau - Moquegua	1:0 ✺
23.05.26	Moquegua - Universitario de Deportes	0:0 ✺
17.05.26	Los Chankas - Moquegua	1:0 ✺
09.05.26	Moquegua - ADT Tarma	2:2 ✺
02.05.26	Alianza Lima - Moquegua	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.4 LTLTL
- Bentín Tacna Heroica
Peruvian Copa de la Liga
12.06.26	Bentín Tacna Heroica - FBC Melgar	3:2 ✺
Peruvian Liga 2
30.05.26	Bentín Tacna Heroica - Estudiantil CNI	3:1 ✺
16.05.26	Santos - Bentín Tacna Heroica	2:1 ✺
09.05.26	Bentín Tacna Heroica - Alianza Universidad de Huánuco	0:0 ✺
01.05.26	Sport Huancayo 2 - Bentín Tacna Heroica	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6 WWLTL

Latest Head to Head

Peruvian Liga 2
23.08.25	Moquegua - Bentín Tacna Heroica	0:0
20.07.25	Bentín Tacna Heroica - Moquegua	2:2
24.05.25	Moquegua - Bentín Tacna Heroica	2:1

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