Match Info

Liga 1 - Apertura - Round 17

Date: 29 May 2026, Friday

Location: Estadio Campeones del 36 (Sullana)

Where to Watch on TV:


Peru	Liga 1 Play, Movistar TV App
Usa	Fanatiz


	Atlético Grau		Moquegua

	1	X	2
	1.5	3.9	6.5	Watch
	1.49	3.85	7	Watch
	1.5	3.99	6.88
	1.46	4.25	6.91	Watch
	1.44	3.75	7
	1.49	3.86	6.96	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.48 ↑ (1.38)	3.93 ↓ (4.58)	6.88 ↓ (7.89)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 6.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Atlético Grau
62.8%

Draw
23.6%

Moquegua
13.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

67.7%

20.4%

11.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

71%

19.5%

11.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Atlético Grau has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.9%)

Moquegua has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Atlético Grau than the current prediction. (+8.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Atlético Grau, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Moquegua than the current prediction. (-2.2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
66.7%	0%	33.3%

Atlético Grau - Moquegua Predictions

Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Grau will win (votes: 3 - 60%). Moquegua will win (votes: 2 - 40%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
33. Calderon A. (G) 4. Rodriguez D. 27. Tapia R. 2. Acevedo L. 3. Tapia I. 25. Alfaro Martinez G. E. 10. de la Cruz P. 66. de la Cruz A. 5. Guarderas R. 22. Neira C. 9. Ruidiaz R. (C)	1. Grados C. (G) 22. Montenegro E. 13. Lojas J. (C) 3. Enciso C. 15. Amasifuen N. 17. Zapata Y. 25. Chipao R. 8. Mejia C. 16. Davila A. 11. Bryan Angulo 7. Lastre E.
Substitutes
16. Ataupillco J. 7. Barreto D. 11. Delgadillo N. 29. Franco E. 12. Fuentes A. (G) 13. Oncoy F. 6. Rodas E. 24. Ruidiaz Y. 20. Vasquez A.	10. Chavez N. 90. Collazos J. 29. Figueroa R. (G) 6. Jimenez J. 9. Negron M. 66. Panizo M. 4. Perleche A. 14. Ramirez C. 20. Ramirez D.
Coaches
Ameli G.	Serna J.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (1 - 0)
54', Zapata Y. 🟨,
62', Ruidiaz R. ↓, Ruidiaz Y. ↑,
62', de la Cruz P. ↓, Vasquez A. ↑,
66', Davila A. ↓, Chavez N. ↑,
66', Bryan Angulo ↓, Collazos J. ↑,
77', 1 - 0, Neira C. ⚽,
81', Tapia I. 🟨,
84', Montenegro E. 🟥,
85', Alfaro Martinez G. E. ↓, Rodas E. ↑,
88', Chipao R. ↓, Negron M. ↑,
88', Mejia C. ↓, Ramirez C. ↑,
88', Zapata Y. ↓, Ramirez D. ↑,
89', Neira C. ↓, Barreto D. ↑,
89', de la Cruz A. ↓, Oncoy F. ↑,

Preview

A mid-table team and an outsider will play in this match (ranked 18 and 12).

Recent form of Grau has been disappointing (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Moquegua has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

In this match, Grau is seen as the favorite.

There will not play in Grau: Alvarez P. (Toe Injury)

There will not play in Moquegua: Granda J. (Injury)

Recently, the teams have not faced each other.

Standings

Clausura

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
10	Grau	11	5	2	4	14:13	1	17
16	Moquegua	11	1	4	6	7:19	-12	7

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Atlético Grau
Peruvian Liga 1
23.05.26	Cusco - Atlético Grau	1:0 ✺
15.05.26	Universitario de Deportes - Atlético Grau	0:1 ✺
09.05.26	Atlético Grau - Cienciano	1:2 ✺
02.05.26	ADT Tarma - Atlético Grau	1:0 ✺
26.04.26	Atlético Grau - Alianza Lima	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 21.2 LWLLL
- Deportivo Moquegua
Peruvian Liga 1
23.05.26	Moquegua - Universitario de Deportes	0:0 ✺
17.05.26	Los Chankas - Moquegua	1:0 ✺
09.05.26	Moquegua - ADT Tarma	2:2 ✺
02.05.26	Alianza Lima - Moquegua	2:1 ✺
25.04.26	Moquegua - Cajamarca	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.4 TLTLW

Atlético Grau - Moquegua: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide