Match Info

Liga 2 - Round 9

Date: 31 May 2025, Saturday

Location: Estadio Municipal de Nasca (Nazca)


	Santos		Moquegua

	1	X	2
	1.98	3.3	3.4
	2.02	3.29	3.23
	2.09	3.4	3.4	Watch
	2.04	3.22	3.43
	1.98	3.3	3.4
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.02 ↓ (2.2)	3.3 ↑ (3.18)	3.37 ↑ (3.03)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 6.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Santos
45.2%

Draw
27.7%

Moquegua
27.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

41.4%

28.6%

30%

Our Initial ML Estimation

42.8%

29.6%

29%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Santos has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.8%)

Moquegua has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Santos than the current prediction. (-2.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Moquegua than the current prediction. (+1.9%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
100%	0%	0%

Santos - Moquegua Predictions

Users Predictions: Santos will win (5 of 5 users predict this - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Santos will win (6 of 6 users predict this - 100%) 🥇 Gold Tip.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
	29. Figueroa R. (G)
	10. Chavez N.
	90. Collazos J.
	18. Cuero J.
	16. Davila A.
	30. Granda J.
	6. Jimenez J.
	23. Jimenez J.
	22. Montenegro E.
	24. Moreno K.
	8. Sanchez D.
Substitutes
	3. Castillo B.
	11. Centurion L.
	7. Lasso C.
	28. Lopez J.
	1. Mayta Boza L. L. (G)
	9. Osorio A.
	14. Ramirez C.
	4. Rivera B.
	19. Santibanez S.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
16', 🟨,
36', 1 - 0, Deza J. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
53', 🟨,
68', Collazos J. ↓, Lasso C. ↑,
68', Davila A. ↓, Lopez J. ↑,
75', Cuero J. ↓, Centurion L. ↑,
75', Sanchez D. ↓, Rivera B. ↑,
76', 1 - 1, Lopez J. ⚽,
90+5', 🟨,
90+5', Lasso C. 🟥,
90+8', 🟨,

Preview

The two neighboring teams will play an exciting match (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga 2 (Promotion Group: ) and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga 2 (Promotion Group: ))

Recent performances by Santos have been up and down (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Moquegua is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

Recently, Santos has had a series of away games.

Recently, Moquegua has had a series of home games.

Santos could have a small edge in this match.

In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Santos won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 2:1. (average 0.7:0.3).

Including home match between the teams, Santos won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Santos de Nasca
Peruvian Liga 2
25.05.25	Comerciantes Belén - Santos	3:2 ✺
17.05.25	Cantolao - Santos	1:2 ✺
10.05.25	Santos - Universidad San Martín	2:3 ✺
26.04.25	Unión Comercio - Santos	3:1 ✺
13.04.25	Moquegua - Santos	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.6 LWLLW
- Deportivo Moquegua
Peruvian Liga 2
24.05.25	Moquegua - Bentín Tacna Heroica	2:1 ✺
18.05.25	Moquegua - Unión Comercio	1:0 ✺
10.05.25	Deportivo Coopsol - Moquegua	0:1 ✺
04.05.25	Moquegua - Universidad San Martín	3:1 ✺
26.04.25	Moquegua - Comerciantes Belén	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12 WWWWL

Latest Head to Head

Peruvian Liga 2
13.04.25	Moquegua - Santos	0:1
16.06.24	Moquegua - Santos	1:0
20.04.24	Santos - Moquegua	1:0

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