Match Info
Tercera RFEF - Group 14 - Round 18Date: 18 January 2026, Sunday
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|
 |
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Villafranca |
|
Moralo |
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1 |
X |
2 |
|
 |
2.52 |
3.2 |
2.48 |
|
 |
2.68 |
3.28 |
2.45 |
|
 |
2.7 |
3 |
2.4 |
|
 |
2.66 |
3.13 |
2.4 |
|
 |
2.66 |
3.14 |
2.45 |
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Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.64 ↑
(2.45) |
3.15 ↓
(3.25) |
2.44 ↓
(2.6) |
|
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
- The best margin for this event is 8.6%, offered by
#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+ Current Win Probability
Villafranca
34.2% | Draw
28.7% | Moralo
37.1% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Villafranca has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.9%)Moralo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.1%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Villafranca than the current prediction. (+3.2%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Moralo than the current prediction. (-2.4%)Villafranca - Moralo Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1 
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Key Events of the Match
- 1st Half (0 - 1)
- 40', 0 - 1, Guisevi ⚽,
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
- 46', 🟥,
Preview
A mid-table team takes on a leader in this match (ranked 11 and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Tercera RFEF ~ Group 14 (Play Offs: )).In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Villafranca won 2.In recent matches, Villafranca has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 1 wins).Moralo is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins โ 3). In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.In the last 8 head-to-head matches, Villafranca won 2 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 7:10. (average 0.9:1.3).Including home matches between the teams, Villafranca won 1 match, drew 3 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:2. (average 0.8:0.5).
Standings
| | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
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| 2 | Moralo | 5 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 9:5 | 4 | 11 |
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| 15 | Villafranca | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 4:7 | -3 | 3 |
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Form
✺ - easy match;
✺ - difficult match;
Latest Head to Head
| Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 14 | | | 06.09.25 | Moralo - Villafranca | 1:1 | | 01.03.25 | Villafranca - Moralo | 1:0 | | 20.10.24 | Moralo - Villafranca | 3:1 | | 25.02.24 | Villafranca - Moralo | 0:0 | | 12.10.23 | Moralo - Villafranca | 0:1 | | 23.04.23 | Villafranca - Moralo | 2:2 | | 08.01.23 | Moralo - Villafranca | 4:1 |
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