Match Info

Tercera RFEF - Group 14 - Round 28

Date: 30 March 2025, Sunday


	Olivenza		Diocesano

	1	X	2
	7.75	4.4	1.33
	10	5	1.24
	9.15	4.65	1.29
	10	5	1.24
Avarage Now (Initially)	9.23 ↑ (7.8)	4.76 ↑ (4.75)	1.28 ↓ (1.31)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 10%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Olivenza
9.8%

Draw
19%

Diocesano
71.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

11.6%

19.1%

69.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

11.2%

18.5%

71.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Olivenza has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.8%)

Diocesano has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Olivenza than the current prediction. (+1.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Diocesano than the current prediction. (+0.5%)

Olivenza - Diocesano Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
21', 0 - 1, Fernandez C. ⚽,
26', 1 - 1, NIeves S. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
46', 1 - 2, Sanchez A. ⚽,
67', 2 - 2, Pitu ⚽,
88', 🟥,

Preview

Let's watch a game between leader and an outsider (ranked 18 in the zone Relegation and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Tercera RFEF ~ Group 14 (Play Offs: )).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Olivenza won 1.

Recent matches Olivenza is playing mutable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Diocesano is in a first-class shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

In this match Diocesano is certain favorite.

Last 6 head-to-head matches Olivenza won 1 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 3:9 (average 0.5:1.5).

Including matches at home between the teams Olivenza won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 2:5 (average 0.5:1.3).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Olivenza FC
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 14
23.03.25	Azuaga - Olivenza	2:0 ✺
16.03.25	Olivenza - Castuera	2:1 ✺
09.03.25	Trujillo - Olivenza	1:1 ✺
02.03.25	Olivenza - Pueblonuevo	1:1 ✺
23.02.25	Puebla de la Calzada - Olivenza	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.3 LWTTL
- CD Diocesano
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 14
23.03.25	Diocesano - Jerez	4:1 ✺
16.03.25	Santa Amalia - Diocesano	0:3 ✺
09.03.25	Diocesano - Calamonte	3:0 ✺
02.03.25	Montijo - Diocesano	1:1 ✺
23.02.25	Diocesano - Villafranca	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.7 WWWTL

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 14
17.11.24	Diocesano - Olivenza	3:0
30.01.22	Olivenza - Diocesano	1:0
14.02.21	Diocesano - Olivenza	1:1
25.08.19	Olivenza - Diocesano	1:4
17.03.19	Olivenza - Diocesano	0:1
Spanish Tercera Division - Play Offs
29.10.17	Olivenza - Diocesano	0:0

Olivenza - Diocesano: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide