The best margin for this event is 8.4%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Moralo 49.8%
Draw 26.9%
Villanovense 23.3%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
52.9%
25.5%
21.6%
Our Initial ML Estimation
56.2%
24%
20.3%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Moralo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.1%)
Villanovense has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.7%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Moralo than the current prediction. (+6.4%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Moralo, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Villanovense than the current prediction. (-3%)
Moralo - Villanovense Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0
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Key Events of the Match
1st Half (3 - 0)
12', 1 - 0, Hachouchi W. ⚽,
26', 2 - 0, Taoualy O. ⚽,
35', 3 - 0, Hachouchi W. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
Preview
This match features a clash between the league leader and a mid-table team (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Tercera RFEF ~ Group 14 (Play Offs: ) and 7).
Moralo has shown excellent form with a series of wins in recent matches (last 5 games: 4 wins).
Villanovense's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins โ 2).
In this match, Moralo is the team to beat.
We predict that Moralo will win today's game, with odds of 1.73.
In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Moralo won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:0. (average 1:0).
Including home match between the teams, Moralo won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:0.