Match Info
Tercera RFEF - Group 14 - Round 21Date: 8 February 2026, Sunday
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Montijo |
|
Moralo |
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1 |
X |
2 |
|
 |
2.4 |
2.88 |
2.88 |
|
 |
2.31 |
2.88 |
3.15 |
|
 |
2.31 |
3.15 |
3.02 |
 Watch |
 |
2.3 |
2.88 |
3 |
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2.31 |
2.88 |
3.11 |
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 |
2.3 |
2.9 |
3.14 |
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Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.32 ↓
(2.41) |
2.93 ↓
(3.07) |
3.05 ↑
(2.74) |
|
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
- The best margin for this event is 8.1%, offered by
#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+ Current Win Probability
Montijo
39.2% | Draw
31% | Moralo
29.8% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Montijo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.7%)Moralo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.2%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Montijo than the current prediction. (-0.2%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Moralo than the current prediction. (+1.9%)Montijo - Moralo Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1 
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Key Events of the Match
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
Preview
A mid-table team takes on a leader in this match (ranked 8 and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Tercera RFEF ~ Group 14 (Play Offs: )).Montijo is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 1 wins).Moralo is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins โ 3). The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Montijo won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 5:4. (average 1.3:1).Including home matches between the teams, Montijo won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:0. (average 1:0).
Standings
| | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
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| 2 | Moralo | 5 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 9:5 | 4 | 11 |
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| 10 | Montijo | 5 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 6:8 | -2 | 6 |
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Form
✺ - easy match;
✺ - difficult match;
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