Match Info

Tercera RFEF - Group 14 - Play Offs - Final

Date: 7 June 2026, Sunday


	Badajoz		Moralo

	1	X	2
	1.70	3.30	4.33
	1.81	3.05	3.65
	1.69	3.65	4.39
	1.69	3.79	4.33	Watch
	1.70	3.30	4.40
	1.74	3.55	4.70
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.72 ↓ (1.83)	3.44 ↑ (3.05)	4.3 ↑ (3.65)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Badajoz
52.6%

Draw
26.3%

Moralo
21.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

47.6%

28.6%

23.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

52.8%

25.8%

21.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Badajoz has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5%)

Moralo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Badajoz than the current prediction. (+0.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Moralo than the current prediction. (+0.4%)

Badajoz - Moralo Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 0)

Preview

First leg result: 2-0.

Badajoz is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Moralo has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Moralo may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Badajoz is seen as the favorite.

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Badajoz won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 5:3. (average 1:0.6).

Including home matches between the teams, Badajoz won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 2:1. (average 1:0.5).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
2	Moralo	5	3	2	0	9:5	4	11

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CD Badajoz
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 14
31.05.26	Moralo - Badajoz	0:2 ✺
24.05.26	Badajoz - Jaraíz	2:0 ✺
17.05.26	Jaraíz - Badajoz	1:0 ✺
10.05.26	Badajoz - Gévora	3:0
03.05.26	Calamonte - Badajoz	0:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.7 WWLWW
- Moralo CP
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 14
31.05.26	Moralo - Badajoz	0:2 ✺
23.05.26	Moralo - Azuaga	0:0 ✺
17.05.26	Azuaga - Moralo	0:1 ✺
19.04.26	Gévora - Moralo	2:1 ✺
12.04.26	Moralo - Calamonte	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.7 LTWLT

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 14
31.05.26	Moralo - Badajoz	0:2
22.02.26	Badajoz - Moralo	0:1
12.10.25	Moralo - Badajoz	1:0
23.02.25	Badajoz - Moralo	2:0
13.10.24	Moralo - Badajoz	1:1

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