Match Info

Date: 9 January 2022, Sunday


	Moratalaz		Alcalá

	1	X	2
	2.15	3.1	2.95
	2.45	2.8	2.6
	2.35	2.95	2.75
	2.32	3.02	2.86
	2.41	3.1	2.86
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.34 ↓ (2.56)	2.99 ↑ (2.77)	2.8 ↑ (2.7)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 8.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Moratalaz
38.3%

Draw
29.9%

Alcalá
31.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

34.8%

32.2%

33%

Our Initial ML Estimation

26.8%

24.8%

42.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Moratalaz has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.5%)

Alcalá has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Moratalaz than the current prediction. (-11.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Moratalaz that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Alcalá than the current prediction. (+10.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Alcalá could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Moratalaz - Alcalá Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

During this match we will watch a battle between a team from the middle of a tournament table and a leader (ranked 13 and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Tercera RFEF ~ Group 7 (Promotion ~ Play Offs)).

Recent matches Moratalaz is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Alcalá is in a first-class shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Moratalaz could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match the chances to achieve triumph bor both teams are almost equal.

Last 3 head-to-head matches Moratalaz won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 2-7.

Including matches at home between the teams Moratalaz won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 2-4.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- ED Moratalaz
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 7
08.12.21	Villaverde San Andrés - Moratalaz	1:2 ✺
04.12.21	Moratalaz - Trival Valderas	2:2 ✺
28.11.21	Ursaria - Moratalaz	1:1 ✺
21.11.21	Moratalaz - Parla	1:2 ✺
17.11.21	CDE Madrid - Moratalaz	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.1 WTTLL
- RSD Alcalá
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 7
06.01.22	Villaviciosa de Odón - Alcalá	0:1 ✺
12.12.21	Alcalá - Trival Valderas	1:0 ✺
08.12.21	Ursaria - Alcalá	2:0 ✺
04.12.21	Alcalá - Parla	1:0 ✺
28.11.21	CDE Madrid - Alcalá	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.6 WWLWT

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 7
05.09.21	Alcalá - Moratalaz	3:0
13.12.20	Moratalaz - Alcalá	2:2
01.12.19	Moratalaz - Alcalá	0:2

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