Match Info

III Liga - Group IV - Round 10

Date: 27 September 2026, Sunday


	Moravia Morawica		JKS Jarosław

	1	X	2
	4.60	4.10	1.52
	4.8	4.05	1.5
	4.55	4.4	1.56
	4.84	4.09	1.56
	4.45	3.9	1.54
	4.41	4.17	1.63	Watch
	4.4	3.78	1.56
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.58 ↑ (4.4)	4.07 ↑ (3.78)	1.55 ↓ (1.56)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Moravia Morawica
19.7%

Draw
22.2%

JKS Jarosław
58.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

20.1%

23.4%

56.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

19%

22.1%

59.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Moravia Morawica has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.4%)

JKS Jarosław has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Moravia Morawica than the current prediction. (-0.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for JKS Jarosław than the current prediction. (+1.8%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
33.3%	0%	66.7%

Moravia Morawica - JKS Jarosław Predictions

Users Predictions: 3 users predict this event. Moravia will win (votes: 1 - 33.3%). JKS Jarosław will win (votes: 2 - 66.7%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (2 - 2)
57', 1 - 0, Rybus J. (Penalty Awarded),
69', 1 - 1, Sarmiento J. ⚽,
85', 1 - 2, Miroshnyk R. ⚽,
90+2', 2 - 2, Zadlo M. ⚽,

Preview

A determined lower-tier side seeks an essential result against mid-table opposition (ranked 18th in the Relegation and 7th).

Moravia has struggled for results with multiple recent losses (last 5 matches: 0 wins).

JKS Jarosław is in good shape currently (last 5 matches: 4 wins).

JKS Jarosław could enjoy a physical edge thanks to more rest days ahead of this match.

Recently, JKS Jarosław has enjoyed a sequence of home fixtures.

JKS Jarosław carries the favorite tag into this contest.

Our forecast points to a victory for JKS Jarosław in today's match, at odds of 1.66.

In the last 1 head-to-head meeting, Moravia has recorded 0 wins, 0 draws, and 1 loss, with a goal aggregate of 2:3.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
7	Jaroslaw	11	5	2	4	27:20	7	17
17	Moravia Morawica	11	2	2	7	13:22	-9	8

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Moravia Morawica
Polish Division 3 - Group IV
19.09.26	Busko-Zdrój - Moravia Morawica	2:1 ✺
13.09.26	Moravia Morawica - Czarni Połaniec	1:2 ✺
05.09.26	Hetman Zamość - Moravia Morawica	2:1 ✺
30.08.26	Moravia Morawica - KSZO Ostrowiec Świętokrzyski	0:4 ✺
22.08.26	Wisła II Kraków - Moravia Morawica	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLL
- JKS 1909 Jarosław
Polish Division 3 - Group IV
19.09.26	JKS Jarosław - Pogoń-Sokół Lubaczów	5:2 ✺
12.09.26	Wiślanie Skawina - JKS Jarosław	3:1 ✺
05.09.26	JKS Jarosław - Korona Kielce 2	6:2 ✺
29.08.26	JKS Jarosław - Star Starachowice	3:0 ✺
22.08.26	JKS Jarosław - Podlasie Biała Podlaska	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.3 WLWWW

Latest Head to Head

Club Friendly
25.07.26	JKS Jarosław - Moravia Morawica	3:2

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