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Current Win Probability
Morecambe 40.3%
Draw 29.2%
Cheltenham Town 30.4%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
35.5%
26.3%
38.3%
Our Initial ML Estimation
34.6%
25.6%
39.3%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Morecambe has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.8%)
Cheltenham Town has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.9%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Cheltenham Town might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Morecambe than the current prediction. (-5.7%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Morecambe that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Cheltenham Town than the current prediction. (+8.9%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Cheltenham Town could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
57.1%
0%
42.9%
Morecambe - Cheltenham Town Predictions
Users Predictions:
7 users predict this event. Morecambe will win (votes: 4 - 57.1%). Cheltenham will win (votes: 3 - 42.9%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Burgoyne H. (G) 3. Lewis A. 6. Stott J. (C) 14. Williams R. 23. Tutonda D. 28. Jones C. 17. Lewis P. 4. White T. 16. Dallas A. 10. Angol L. 9. Hope H.
21. Day J. (G) 2. Jude-Boyd A. 25. Stubbs S. 6. Bradbury T. (C) 18. Bakare I. 4. Kinsella L. 5. Dieng T. 15. Thomas J. 22. Archer E. 9. Taylor M. 10. Miller G.
Substitutes
20. Cooke C. 19. Dackers M. 33. Garner G. 12. Schofield R. (G) 11. Slew J. 24. Songo'o Y. 18. Tollitt B.
23. Adedokun V. 26. Backwell T. 41. Diallo M. (G) 14. Dulson L. 11. Hay A. 3. Haynes R. 16. Williams E.
Coaches
Adams D.
Flynn M.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (2 - 0)
57', Jude-Boyd A. 🟨,
64', Miller G. ↓, Hay A. ↑,
66', Dallas A. ↓, Garner G. ↑,
66', 1 - 0, Garner G. ⚽, Burgoyne H. (A),
72', Bakare I. 🟨,
73', Bradbury T. ↓, Adedokun V. ↑,
73', Archer E. ↓, Dulson L. ↑,
74', 2 - 0, Angol L. ⚽,
81', Lewis P. ↓, Songo'o Y. ↑,
83', Taylor M. ↓, Williams E. ↑,
83', Thomas J. ↓, Haynes R. ↑,
88', Hope H. ↓, Tollitt B. ↑,
88', Jones C. ↓, Cooke C. ↑,
Preview
The game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 23 in the zone Relegation ~ National League and 14).
Last 5 head-to-head matches Morecambe won 1.
Recent matches Morecambe is playing mutable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
Cheltenham is in a poor shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
Morecambe could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
The possibility to win in this match is almost balanced for both teams.
There will not play in Morecambe: Edwards G.
(Injury)
Hendrie L.
(Inactive)
Macadam H.
(Inactive)
Moore S.
(Injury)
Ray G.
(Lacking Match Fitness)
There will not play in Cheltenham: Pell H.
(Knee Injury)
There are questionable in Cheltenham: Bowman R.
(Inactive)
Power D.
(Hamstring Injury)
Last 20 head-to-head matches Morecambe won 5 matches, drawn 5 matches, lost 10 matches and goals 19:29 (average 1:1.5).
Including matches at home between the teams Morecambe won 4 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 11:8 (average 1.1:0.8).