The best margin for this event is 6.1%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Morecambe 30.2%
Draw 27.4%
Swindon Town 42.4%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
29%
27.3%
43.7%
Our Initial ML Estimation
28.7%
27.1%
44.1%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Morecambe has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.2%)
Swindon Town has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.3%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Morecambe than the current prediction. (-1.5%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Swindon Town than the current prediction. (+1.7%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
42.9%
14.3%
42.9%
Morecambe - Swindon Town Predictions
Users Predictions:
7 users predict this event. Morecambe will win (votes: 3 - 42.9%). Swindon will win (votes: 3 - 42.9%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 14.3%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Burgoyne H. (G) 3. Lewis A. 14. Williams R. 6. Stott J. 23. Tutonda D. 28. Jones C. 24. Songo'o Y. (C) 4. White T. 16. Dallas A. 10. Angol L. 9. Hope H.
13. Ripley C. (G) 2. Sobowale T. 5. Wright W. (C) 20. Freckleton M. 16. Cain J. 17. Nichols T. 6. Ofoborh N. 18. Kilkenny G. 25. Westley J. 10. Smith H. 42. Ameen B.
Substitutes
20. Cooke C. 19. Dackers M. 17. Lewis P. 12. Schofield R. (G) 11. Slew J. 31. Snowball N. 18. Tollitt B.
22. Butterworth D. 1. Bycroft J. (G) 7. Cotterill J. 27. Cox G. 9. Glatzel P. 34. Kirkman B. 21. Tshimanga K.
Coaches
Adams D.
Holloway I.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 0)
38', 1 - 0, Angol L. ⚽, Dallas A. (A),
41', Nichols T. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Cain J. ↓, Cox G. ↑,
64', Ameen B. ↓, Butterworth D. ↑,
65', Nichols T. ↓, Glatzel P. ↑,
65', Ofoborh N. ↓, Tshimanga K. ↑,
65', Kilkenny G. ↓, Cotterill J. ↑,
71', Dallas A. ↓, Dackers M. ↑,
72', Hope H. ↓, Lewis P. ↑,
73', White T. 🟨,
81', Angol L. ↓, Slew J. ↑,
Preview
An autsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 24 in the zone Relegation ~ National League and 15).
Last 5 head-to-head matches Morecambe won 1.
Morecambe is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
Recent matches Swindon is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
Swindon will have a mini benefit in this match.
There will not play in Morecambe: Hendrie L.
(Inactive)
Macadam H.
(Inactive)
Moore S.
(Injury)
Ray G.
(Lacking Match Fitness)
Schofield R.
(Injury)
There will not play in Swindon: Drinan A.
(Knee Injury)
Hall G.
(Inactive)
Minturn H.
(Groin Injury)
There are questionable in Morecambe: Edwards G.
(Injury)
Jones C.
(Injury)
Lewis P.
(Injury)
There are questionable in Swindon: Delaney R.
(Injury)
McGregor J.
(Inactive)
Last 9 head-to-head matches Morecambe won 2 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 10:17 (average 1.1:1.9).
Including matches at home between the teams Morecambe won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 2:4 (average 0.5:1).