The best margin for this event is 5.3%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Port Vale 61.8%
Draw 23%
Morecambe 15.2%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
55.7%
24%
20.3%
Our Initial ML Estimation
57.5%
23.2%
19.7%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Port Vale has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.1%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Port Vale's performance.
Morecambe has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.1%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Morecambe might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Port Vale than the current prediction. (-4.3%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Morecambe than the current prediction. (+4.5%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
81.2%
6.2%
12.5%
Port Vale - Morecambe Predictions
Users Predictions:
Port Vale will win
(13 of 15 users predict this - 86.67%). Confidence interval (95%): 69.47% – 100%.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
13. Amos B. (G) 20. Sang T. 22. Debrah J. 5. Hall C. (C) 2. Clark M. 18. Croasdale R. 38. Walters R. 24. Kyle John 19. Tolaj L. 9. Stockley J. 11. Curtis R.
1. Burgoyne H. (G) 22. Millen R. 14. Williams R. 6. Stott J. (C) 23. Tutonda D. 18. Tollitt B. 4. White T. 7. Edwards G. 28. Jones C. 3. Lewis A. 10. Angol L.
Substitutes
40. Broome N. (G) 8. Garrity B. 32. Hackford A. 45. Harper R. 26. Richards R. 6. Smith N. 37. Umolu J.
20. Cooke C. 19. Dackers M. 16. Dallas A. 33. Garner G. 9. Hope H. 11. Slew J. 24. Songo'o Y.
Coaches
Moore D.
Adams D.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 0)
17', Tutonda D. 🟨,
24', Hall C. 🟨,
31', Williams R. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
58', Angol L. 🟨,
63', Lewis A. ↓, Songo'o Y. ↑,
66', Walters R. ↓, Garrity B. ↑,
66', Clark M. ↓, Richards R. ↑,
70', Edwards G. ↓, Slew J. ↑,
84', Tollitt B. ↓, Garner G. ↑,
84', Jones C. ↓, Cooke C. ↑,
89', 1 - 0, Curtis R. ⚽, Richards R. (A),
90', Curtis R. 🟨,
90+3', Tolaj L. ↓, Hackford A. ↑,
90+3', Richards R. ↓, Smith N. ↑,
Preview
This match will be played by one of a leader and an outsider (ranked 6 in the zone Promotion ~ League Two (Play Offs: Semi~finals) and 23 in the zone Relegation ~ National League).
Last 5 head-to-head matches Port Vale won 3.
Recent matches Port Vale is playing mutable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
Morecambe is in cheap shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
Port Vale could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
In this match Port Vale is a favorite.
There will not play in Port Vale: Headley J.
(Muscle Injury)
There will not play in Morecambe: Hendrie L.
(Inactive)
Macadam H.
(Inactive)
Moore S.
(Inactive)
Ray G.
(Inactive)
Schofield R.
(Injury)
Taylor M.
(Red Card)
There are questionable in Morecambe: Lewis P.
(Injury)
Last 14 head-to-head matches Port Vale won 6 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 6 matches and goals 15:10 (average 1.1:0.7).
Including matches at home between the teams Port Vale won 3 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 5:3 (average 0.8:0.5).