The best margin for this event is 4.5%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Morecambe 27.5%
Draw 28.7%
AFC Wimbledon 43.8%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
23.3%
27.7%
49%
Our Initial ML Estimation
23%
27.4%
49.6%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Morecambe has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.2%)
AFC Wimbledon has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.2%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and AFC Wimbledon might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Morecambe than the current prediction. (-4.5%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for AFC Wimbledon than the current prediction. (+5.8%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that AFC Wimbledon could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
10%
20%
70%
Morecambe - AFC Wimbledon Predictions
Users Predictions:
10 users predict this event. Morecambe will win (votes: 1 - 10%). Wimbledon will win (votes: 7 - 70%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 20%). Confidence interval (95%) for Wimbledon: 41.6% – 98.4%.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Burgoyne H. (G) 2. Hendrie L. 5. Taylor M. 6. Stott J. 3. Lewis A. 8. Macadam H. 24. Songo'o Y. (C) 17. Lewis P. 33. Garner G. 10. Angol L. 7. Edwards G.
1. Goodman O. (G) 3. Furlong J. 31. Lewis J. 6. Johnson R. 11. Neufville J. 4. Reeves J. (C) 12. Smith A. 8. Maycock C. 41. Hutchinson S. 39. Pigott J. 10. Kelly J.
Substitutes
20. Cooke C. 19. Dackers M. 16. Dallas A. 22. Millen R. 11. Slew J. 18. Tollitt B. 4. White T.
18. Browne M. 9. Bugiel O. 33. Ogundere I. 29. Sasu A. 14. Stevens M. 7. Tilley J. 22. Ward L. (G)
Coaches
Adams D.
Jackson J.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 0)
14', Hutchinson S. 🟨,
20', 1 - 0, Angol L. ⚽, Songo'o Y. (A),
38', Lewis P. ↓, White T. ↑,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
59', Hendrie L. ↓, Millen R. ↑,
65', Pigott J. ↓, Stevens M. ↑,
65', Maycock C. ↓, Browne M. ↑,
65', Furlong J. ↓, Sasu A. ↑,
75', Kelly J. ↓, Bugiel O. ↑,
82', Macadam H. ↓, Cooke C. ↑,
82', Garner G. ↓, Dallas A. ↑,
82', Angol L. ↓, Dackers M. ↑,
84', Smith A. ↓, Tilley J. ↑,
86', Lewis A. 🟨,
90+7', Tilley J. 🟨,
Preview
An outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 23 in the zone Relegation ~ National League and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ League Two (Play Offs: Semi~finals)).
Last 5 head-to-head matches Morecambe won 1.
Morecambe is in awful shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
Recent matches Wimbledon is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
Wimbledon will have a small advantage in this match.
There will not play in Morecambe: Jones C.
(Inactive)
Moore S.
(Inactive)
Schofield R.
(Injury)
There will not play in Wimbledon: Ball J.
(Injury)
McLean R.
(Knee Injury)
There are questionable in Morecambe: Hope H.
(Inactive)
Ray G.
(Inactive)
There are questionable in Wimbledon: Harbottle R.
(Inactive)
Hippolyte M.
(Inactive)
Last 14 head-to-head matches Morecambe won 5 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 5 matches and goals 23:18 (average 1.6:1.3).
Including matches at home between the teams Morecambe won 3 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 14:9 (average 2.3:1.5).
Last Results with these Odds
Morecambe - the odds 4.01 are the expected chance of winning is 23.33%, but this team recently wins 13% of matches with these odds.
AFC Wimbledon - the odds 1.91 are the expected chance of winning is 49%, but this team recently wins 57% of matches with these odds.
United-kingdom
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Burgoyne H. (G) 
Songo'o Y. (C) 
Edwards G. 
Furlong J. 
Johnson R. 
Dallas A. 
Bugiel O. 
Sasu A. 
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