Match Info

ENGLAND: League Two - Round 14

Date: 26 October 2024, Saturday

Location: The Mazuma Stadium (Morecambe)

Referee: Reeves T. (Eng)

Where to Watch on TV:


United-kingdom	Sky Sports+


	Morecambe		Chesterfield

	1	X	2
	3.8	3.7	1.83	Watch
	3.9	3.75	1.8
	4	3.75	1.85	Watch
	4.05	3.87	1.85
	3.84	3.75	1.86	Watch
	4.2	3.6	1.85
	3.92	3.8	1.83	Watch
	4	3.75	1.85
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.96 ↓ (4.2)	3.75 ↑ (3.57)	1.84 ↑ (1.84)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 4.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Morecambe
23.7%

Draw
25.1%

Chesterfield
51.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

22.4%

26.3%

51.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

21.8%

25.7%

52.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Morecambe has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.3%)

Chesterfield has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Morecambe than the current prediction. (-1.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Chesterfield than the current prediction. (+1.5%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
20%	40%	40%

Morecambe - Chesterfield Predictions

Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Morecambe will win (votes: 1 - 20%). Chesterfield will win (votes: 2 - 40%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 40%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
25. Moore S. (G) 2. Hendrie L. 14. Williams R. 6. Stott J. (C) 23. Tutonda D. 4. White T. 28. Jones C. 18. Tollitt B. 8. Macadam H. 3. Lewis A. 19. Dackers M.	1. Thompson M. (G) 20. Daley-Campbell V. 4. Naylor T. (C) 6. Araujo H. 19. Gordon L. 26. Metcalfe J. 8. Oldaker D. 7. Mandeville L. 24. Markanday D. 11. Colclough R. 33. Madden P.
Substitutes
20. Brown C. 1. Burgoyne H. (G) 7. Edwards G. 12. Harrack K. 9. Hope H. 22. Millen R. 5. Taylor M.	28. Banks O. 18. Berry-McNally J. 17. Dobra A. 9. Grigg W. 5. Grimes J. 10. Jacobs M. 37. Rinaldo A. (G)
Coaches
Adams D.	Cook P.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
8', 0 - 1, Markanday D. ⚽,
10', 1 - 1, Tollitt B. ⚽, Lewis A. (A),
22', Dackers M. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 4)
46', Araujo H. ↓, Grimes J. ↑,
46', Daley-Campbell V. ↓, Dobra A. ↑,
49', 1 - 2, Oldaker D. ⚽,
62', 2 - 2, Naylor T. (Own goal),
66', Colclough R. ↓, Berry-McNally J. ↑,
66', Madden P. ↓, Grigg W. ↑,
67', Grigg W. 🟨,
68', Metcalfe J. 🟨,
75', 2 - 3, Berry-McNally J. ⚽, Gordon L. (A),
80', Jones C. ↓, Edwards G. ↑,
81', Markanday D. ↓, Banks O. ↑,
82', 2 - 4, Dobra A. ⚽, Berry-McNally J. (A),
84', Stott J. 🟨,
86', White T. 🟨,
89', 2 - 5, Grimes J. ⚽, Mandeville L. (A),
90+6', Edwards G. 🟨,

Preview

An outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 24 in the zone Relegation ~ National League and 9).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Morecambe won 2.

One and the other team get a very uncertain game.

Morecambe could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Chesterfield is a favorite.

Last 6 head-to-head matches Morecambe won 3 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 11:7 (average 1.8:1.2).

Including matches at home between the teams Morecambe won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 8:5 (average 2.7:1.7).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Morecambe
English League Two
22.10.24	AFC Wimbledon - Morecambe	3:0 ✺
19.10.24	Morecambe - Milton Keynes Dons	1:3 ✺
12.10.24	Barrow - Morecambe	0:1 ✺
English EFL Trophy
08.10.24	Morecambe - Nottingham Forest U21	4:2 ✺
English League Two
05.10.24	Accrington Stanley - Morecambe	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.2 LLWWL
- Chesterfield
English League Two
22.10.24	Chesterfield - Colchester United	1:1 ✺
18.10.24	Newport County - Chesterfield	0:3 ✺
12.10.24	Chesterfield - Notts County	2:2 ✺
05.10.24	Chesterfield - Walsall	2:2 ✺
01.10.24	Bromley - Chesterfield	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.8 TWTTT

Latest Head to Head

English League Two
10.04.18	Morecambe - Chesterfield	2:2
14.10.17	Chesterfield - Morecambe	0:2
25.03.14	Chesterfield - Morecambe	1:0
05.10.13	Morecambe - Chesterfield	4:3
29.12.12	Chesterfield - Morecambe	1:1
02.10.12	Morecambe - Chesterfield	2:0

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