The best margin for this event is 3.9%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Chesterfield 60.4%
Draw 22%
Colchester United 17.6%
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
50.8%
25.5%
23.7%
Our Initial ML Estimation
53.1%
24.3%
22.6%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Chesterfield has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.6%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Chesterfield's performance.
Colchester United has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.1%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Colchester United might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Chesterfield than the current prediction. (-7.3%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Chesterfield that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Colchester United than the current prediction. (+5%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
75%
25%
0%
Chesterfield - Colchester United Predictions
Users Predictions:
4 users predict this event. Chesterfield will win (votes: 3 - 75%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 25%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
23. Boot R. (G) 33. Hutton R. 15. Pond A. 6. Simpson J. (C) 19. Gordon L. 20. McEachran G. 8. Stirk R. 24. Markanday D. 18. Marsh L. 37. Koroma J. 10. Bonis L.
22. Lo-Tutala T. (G) 30. Vincent-Young K. 5. Tucker J. (C) 24. Terry F. 3. Iandolo E. 26. Williams J. 2. Hunt R. 12. Sesay M. 6. Digby P. 17. Williams J. 9. Ihionvien B.
Substitutes
9. Bryden F. 11. Duffy D. 27. Dyer K. 26. Eccleston J. 7. Mandeville L. 4. Naylor T. 46. Pearce T.
11. Chiwome L. 39. Connolly K. 47. Harvey R. 44. Kuffour S. 4. Perry B. 20. Raggett S. 27. Thorn O.
Coaches
Cook P.
Cowley D.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 0)
29', 1 - 0, Markanday D. ⚽, Stirk R. (A),
34', Gordon L. 🟨,
36', Ihionvien B. 🟨,
41', Cowley D. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
54', Pond A. 🟨,
58', Hunt R. 🟨,
68', Markanday D. ↓, Duffy D. ↑,
68', Marsh L. ↓, Naylor T. ↑,
69', Koroma J. ↓, Mandeville L. ↑,
69', McEachran G. ↓, Dyer K. ↑,
75', Williams J. ↓, Thorn O. ↑,
75', Vincent-Young K. ↓, Kuffour S. ↑,
76', Hunt R. ↓, Perry B. ↑,
79', Stirk R. 🟨,
80', Digby P. ↓, Connolly K. ↑,
82', 1 - 1, Perry B. ⚽, Thorn O. (A),
84', Bonis L. ↓, Bryden F. ↑,
88', Ihionvien B. ↓, Chiwome L. ↑,
Preview
This match features one of the top teams against an opponent battling near the bottom (ranked 7th in the Promotion - League Two Playoffs - Semi - finals and 20th).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Chesterfield won 1.
Chesterfield has experienced an up-and-down run in recent matches (last 5 matches: 2 wins).
Colchester is experiencing a dip in performance (last 5 matches: 0 wins).
In this matchup, Chesterfield is considered the favorite to take the win.
Confirmed absences for Chesterfield: Dickson W.
(Inactive)
Owolabi-Belewu M.
(Inactive).
Confirmed absences for Colchester: Kouassi K.
(Inactive).
Doubtful / questionable for Chesterfield: Hemming Z.
(Inactive)
Sotiriou R.
(Inactive).
Doubtful / questionable for Colchester: Bishop T.
(Inactive)
Leake J.
(Inactive).
In the last 12 head-to-head meetings, Chesterfield has recorded 3 wins, 5 draws, and 4 losses, with a goal aggregate of 20:16 (averaging 1.7:1.3 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Chesterfield against this opponent, the record stands at 2 wins, 3 draws, and 0 losses, with 13:4 goals (averaging 2.6:0.8 per game).
Standings
Pl
W
D
L
Diff
Pts
7
Chesterfield
14
5
4
5
24:21
3
19
21
Colchester
12
2
6
4
11:16
-5
12
Outrights of English League Two for now
Chesterfield: 10.01% Colchester: 1.37%
Last Results with these Odds
Chesterfield - the odds 1.79 are the expected chance of winning is 50.79%, but this team recently wins 56% of matches with these odds.
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Boot R. (G) 
Gordon L. 
Stirk R. 
Koroma J. 
Bonis L. 
Lo-Tutala T. (G) 
Vincent-Young K. 
Williams J. 
Duffy D. 
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