Match Info

League Two - Round 30

Date: 31 January 2026, Saturday

Location: SMH Group Stadium (Chesterfield)

Referee: Breakspear C. (Eng)


	Chesterfield		Walsall

	1	X	2
	2.1	3.25	3.3
	2.45	3.2	2.8
	2.18	3.25	3.25
	2.2	3.37	3.4
	2.2	3.25	3.26	Watch
	2.15	3.1	3.2
	2.17	3.27	3.32	Watch
	2.2	3.25	3.33
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.21 ↓ (2.44)	3.24 ↑ (3.16)	3.23 ↑ (2.75)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 4.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Chesterfield
42.3%

Draw
28.8%

Walsall
28.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

37.6%

29%

33.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

39.1%

27.9%

32.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Chesterfield has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.7%)

Walsall has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Chesterfield than the current prediction. (-3.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Walsall than the current prediction. (+3.2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
55.6%	22.2%	22.2%

Chesterfield - Walsall Predictions

Users Predictions: 9 users predict this event. Chesterfield will win (votes: 5 - 55.6%). Walsall will win (votes: 2 - 22.2%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 22.2%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Chesterfield: 23.1% – 88.1%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Chesterfield (votes: 1 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

DNB - Chesterfield (1.57) (votes: 2 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 3 Selected Experts predict this event. Chesterfield (votes: 3 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Hemming Z. (G) 29. Curtis S. 6. McFadzean K. (C) 26. Swinkels S. 46. Pearce T. 36. Braybrooke S. 8. Stirk R. 24. Markanday D. 7. Mandeville L. 11. Duffy D. 9. Grigg W.	1. Roberts M. (G) 5. Burke H. 4. Flint A. 30. Weir E. 2. Barrett C. 23. Pattison A. 20. Chang A. 17. Clarke C. 18. Harper V. 9. Matt J. (C) 15. Kanu D.
Substitutes
28. Berry-McNally J. 10. Bonis L. 17. Dobra A. 44. Donacien J. 22. Dunkley C. 45. Ladapo F. 4. Naylor T.	37. Adomah A. 14. Comley B. 6. Farquharson P. 12. Hornby S. (G) 22. Jellis J. 8. Lakin C. 11. Loupalo-Bi A.
Coaches
Cook P.	Sadler M. J.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 1)
12', 1 - 0, Grigg W. ⚽,
20', 2 - 0, Markanday D. ⚽,
41', 2 - 1, Kanu D. ⚽, Barrett C. (A),
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', Matt J. ↓, Adomah A. ↑,
60', 2 - 2, Adomah A. ⚽, Kanu D. (A),
66', Grigg W. ↓, Bonis L. ↑,
66', Duffy D. ↓, Dobra A. ↑,
73', Chang A. ↓, Lakin C. ↑,
75', Mandeville L. ↓, Naylor T. ↑,
76', Markanday D. ↓, Berry-McNally J. ↑,
81', Adomah A. ↓, Jellis J. ↑,
86', Braybrooke S. ↓, Ladapo F. ↑,
90', Kanu D. ↓, Loupalo-Bi A. ↑,
90', Clarke C. ↓, Comley B. ↑,

Preview

One of today’s top clashes will feature two teams fighting for the top spots (ranked 8 and 6 in the zone Promotion ~ League Two (Play Offs: Semi~finals)).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Chesterfield won 0.

The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.

Recently, Chesterfield has had a series of away games.

Chesterfield might have a minor edge in this game.

There will not play in Chesterfield: Donacien J. (Injury) Hobson B. (Inactive)

There will not play in Walsall: Hollman J. (Inactive) Roofe K. (Inactive) Williams H. (Achilles Tendon Injury)

There are questionable in Chesterfield: Gordon L. (Injury) Grimes J. (Inactive)

In the last 14 head-to-head matches, Chesterfield won 3 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 9 matches, and goals 11:19. (average 0.8:1.4).

Including home matches between the teams, Chesterfield won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 7:9. (average 1.2:1.5).

Outrights of English League Two for now

Chesterfield: 9.07% Walsall: 3.15%

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
6	Walsall	9	3	6	0	12:6	6	15
7	Chesterfield	10	4	3	3	17:14	3	15

Last Results with these Odds

Walsall - the odds 2.75 are the expected chance of winning is 33.41%, but this team recently wins 50% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Chesterfield
English League Two
27.01.26	Salford City - Chesterfield	0:1 ✺
24.01.26	Newport County - Chesterfield	2:1 ✺
17.01.26	Chesterfield - Bromley	0:0 ✺
04.01.26	Milton Keynes Dons - Chesterfield	2:2 ✺
01.01.26	Oldham Athletic - Chesterfield	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.5 WLTTT
- Walsall FC
English League Two
27.01.26	Walsall - Crawley Town	0:0 ✺
24.01.26	Walsall - Accrington Stanley	0:0 ✺
17.01.26	Tranmere Rovers - Walsall	1:3 ✺
English EFL Trophy
14.01.26	Northampton Town - Walsall	4:2 ✺
English FA Cup
11.01.26	Norwich City - Walsall	5:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.6 TTWLL

Latest Head to Head

English League Two
06.09.25	Walsall - Chesterfield	1:0
16.05.25	Walsall - Chesterfield	2:1
11.05.25	Chesterfield - Walsall	0:2
15.02.25	Walsall - Chesterfield	3:1
05.10.24	Chesterfield - Walsall	2:2
English League One
07.03.17	Walsall - Chesterfield	1:0
16.08.16	Chesterfield - Walsall	2:0

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