Match Info

ENGLAND: League Two - Round 11

Date: 12 October 2024, Saturday

Location: Holker Street (Barrow in Furness)

Referee: Speedie B. (Eng)

Where to Watch on TV:


United-kingdom	Sky Sports+


	Barrow		Morecambe

	1	X	2
	1.6	3.8	5.5
	1.6	3.8	5.25
	1.6	4	5.5
	1.6	4.01	5.6
	1.62	3.81	5.38	Watch
	1.62	3.75	5.8
	1.61	3.9	5.3	Watch
	1.6	4	5.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.61 ↑ (1.57)	3.88 ↓ (3.97)	5.48 ↓ (5.63)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 5.3%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Barrow
58.6%

Draw
24.2%

Morecambe
17.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

59.7%

23.6%

16.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

61.6%

22.9%

16.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Barrow has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.1%)

Morecambe has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Barrow than the current prediction. (+3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Morecambe than the current prediction. (-1.1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
93.7%	6.2%	0%

Barrow - Morecambe Predictions

Users Predictions: Barrow will win (15 of 16 users predict this - 93.75%).
Confidence interval (95%): 81.89% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

#ad

Lineups

Starting Lineups
21. Stanway W. (G) 24. Feely R. 42. Vassell T. 14. Stokes Ch. 30. Jackson B. 16. Foley S. 4. Campbell D. (C) 17. Kouyate K. 8. Spence K. 11. Newby E. 10. Garner G.	25. Moore S. (G) 14. Williams R. 6. Stott J. (C) 23. Tutonda D. 2. Hendrie L. 4. White T. 28. Jones C. 3. Lewis A. 17. Lewis P. 18. Tollitt B. 19. Dackers M.
Substitutes
20. Acquah E. 9. Dallas A. 2. Eccleston N. 15. Gotts R. 19. Telford D. 29. Tiensia J.	20. Brown C. 1. Burgoyne H. (G) 26. Dobson L. 9. Hope H. 27. Mercer N. 24. Songo'o Y. 5. Taylor M.
Coaches
Clemence S.	Adams D.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
19', Lewis P. ↓, Hope H. ↑,
37', White T. 🟨,
45+3', Jackson B. 🟨,
45+3', Tollitt B. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
59', Feely R. ↓, Eccleston N. ↑,
59', Foley S. ↓, Acquah E. ↑,
62', Lewis A. 🟨,
65', White T. ↓, Songo'o Y. ↑,
72', Kouyate K. ↓, Dallas A. ↑,
73', Garner G. ↓, Telford D. ↑,
82', 0 - 1, Tollitt B. ⚽, Lewis A. (A),
85', Stokes Ch. ↓, Gotts R. ↑,
90', Hope H. 🟨,
90+1', Lewis A. ↓, Taylor M. ↑,

Preview

One of the leader and one of the outsider will meet in this game (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ League One and 24 in the zone Relegation ~ National League).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Barrow won 1.

Barrow is in awful shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recent matches Morecambe is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recently Barrow have a series of guest games.

In this match Barrow is a favorite.

Last 6 head-to-head matches Barrow won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 6:8 (average 1:1.3).

Including matches at home between the teams Barrow won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 4:2 (average 1.3:0.7).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Barrow
English EFL Trophy
08.10.24	Fleetwood Town - Barrow	3:0 ✺
English League Two
05.10.24	Barrow - Cheltenham Town	2:1 ✺
01.10.24	Doncaster Rovers - Barrow	1:0 ✺
28.09.24	Gillingham - Barrow	2:0 ✺
English League Cup
24.09.24	Chelsea - Barrow	5:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.8 LWLLL
- Morecambe
English EFL Trophy
08.10.24	Morecambe - Nottingham Forest U21	4:2 ✺
English League Two
05.10.24	Accrington Stanley - Morecambe	2:1 ✺
01.10.24	Morecambe - Bradford City	1:1 ✺
28.09.24	Morecambe - Notts County	1:1 ✺
23.09.24	Fleetwood Town - Morecambe	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.6 WLTTT

Latest Head to Head

English League Two
01.04.24	Morecambe - Barrow	2:1
31.10.23	Barrow - Morecambe	1:0
English EFL Trophy
10.10.23	Morecambe - Barrow	3:1
English League Two
20.02.21	Barrow - Morecambe	1:2
01.12.20	Morecambe - Barrow	1:0
Club Friendly
16.07.19	Barrow - Morecambe	2:0

Upcoming Matches