The best margin for this event is 3.9%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Morecambe 37.6%
Draw 27.9%
Newport County 34.5%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
42.3%
28.2%
29.5%
Our Initial ML Estimation
43%
27.7%
29%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Morecambe has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.7%)
Newport County has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Morecambe than the current prediction. (+5.4%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Morecambe, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Newport County than the current prediction. (-5.5%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Newport County, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
20%
0%
80%
Morecambe - Newport County Predictions
Users Predictions:
5 users predict this event. Morecambe will win (votes: 1 - 20%). Newport will win (votes: 4 - 80%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
25. Moore S. (G) 2. Hendrie L. 14. Williams R. 6. Stott J. 23. Tutonda D. 24. Songo'o Y. (C) 28. Jones C. 7. Edwards G. 8. Macadam H. 11. Slew J. 9. Hope H.
1. Townsend N. (G) 19. McLoughlin S. 4. Baker M. 23. Jameson K. 6. Brennan C. 3. Driscoll-Glennon A. 8. Morris B. 24. Wildig A. (C) 11. Antwi C. 9. Baker-Richardson C. 7. Kamwa B.
Substitutes
10. Angol L. 1. Burgoyne H. (G) 3. Lewis A. 17. Lewis P. 22. Millen R. 18. Tollitt B. 4. White T.
13. Carney J. (G) 26. Evans C. 17. Evans K. 31. Jephcott L. 35. Mawene N. 18. Rai K. 29. Sanca N.
Coaches
Adams D.
Jardim N.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 1)
9', 0 - 1, Wildig A. ⚽,
20', Tutonda D. 🟨,
32', Edwards G. 🟨,
32', Baker-Richardson C. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
59', Morris B. ↓, Mawene N. ↑,
65', Macadam H. ↓, Lewis P. ↑,
65', Hope H. ↓, Angol L. ↑,
65', Slew J. ↓, Tollitt B. ↑,
65', Mawene N. 🟨,
72', Kamwa B. 🟨,
74', Lewis P. 🟨,
75', Tutonda D. ↓, Lewis A. ↑,
76', Kamwa B. ↓, Evans K. ↑,
80', Townsend N. 🟨,
89', Songo'o Y. 🟨,
90+2', Songo'o Y. ↓, White T. ↑,
90+5', Wildig A. ↓, Evans C. ↑,
Preview
Last 5 head-to-head matches Morecambe won 2.
Morecambe has a chain of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).
Recent matches Newport is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
Recently Morecambe have a series of guest games.
In this match the chances to win of both teams are almost equal.
Last 20 head-to-head matches Morecambe won 9 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 7 matches and goals 30-28.
Including matches at home between the teams Morecambe won 6 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 17-14.
Watch
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Moore S. (G) 
Tutonda D. 
Songo'o Y. (C) 
Jones C. 
Hope H. 
Townsend N. (G) 
McLoughlin S. 
Millen R. 
Jardim N. 
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