The best margin for this event is 4.6%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Newport County 20.5%
Draw 23.2%
Doncaster Rovers 56.3%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
25.4%
25.4%
49.3%
Our Initial ML Estimation
24.7%
24.7%
50.6%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Newport County has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.9%)
Doncaster Rovers has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Doncaster Rovers's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Newport County than the current prediction. (+4.2%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Doncaster Rovers than the current prediction. (-5.7%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Doncaster Rovers, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
23.1%
7.7%
69.2%
Newport County - Doncaster Rovers Predictions
Users Predictions:
13 users predict this event. Newport will win (votes: 3 - 23.1%). Doncaster will win (votes: 9 - 69.2%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 7.7%). Confidence interval (95%) for Doncaster: 44.1% – 94.3%.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Townsend N. (G) 19. McLoughlin S. 4. Baker M. 5. Clarke J. 3. Driscoll-Glennon A. 6. Brennan C. 14. Whitmore K. 11. Antwi C. 24. Wildig A. (C) 7. Kamwa B. 9. Baker-Richardson C.
19. Sharman-Lowe T. (G) 2. Sterry J. 4. Anderson T. 6. Wood R. (C) 23. Senior J. 17. Bailey O. 8. Broadbent G. 7. Molyneux L. 15. Clifton H. 11. Gibson J. 20. Ironside J.
Substitutes
13. Carney J. (G) 26. Evans C. 23. Jameson K. 31. Jephcott L. 18. Rai K. 12. Thomas J. 22. Wood N. D.
27. Fleming B. 22. Kelly P. 1. Lawlor I. (G) 5. Olowu J. 10. Sbarra J. 14. Sharp B. 18. Yeboah E.
Coaches
Jardim N.
McCann G.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 1)
5', Bailey O. 🟨,
17', Driscoll-Glennon A. 🟨,
30', 0 - 1, Bailey O. ⚽,
2nd Half (3 - 0)
47', 1 - 1, Baker-Richardson C. ⚽, Kamwa B. (A),
61', Broadbent G. ↓, Sbarra J. ↑,
64', Senior J. 🟨,
66', 2 - 1, Whitmore K. ⚽, Baker-Richardson C. (A),
69', 3 - 1, Baker M. ⚽,
73', Senior J. ↓, Fleming B. ↑,
73', Gibson J. ↓, Yeboah E. ↑,
74', Clifton H. ↓, Sharp B. ↑,
78', Wildig A. ↓, Jephcott L. ↑,
83', Bailey O. ↓, Kelly P. ↑,
89', Baker-Richardson C. ↓, Evans C. ↑,
90+2', Kamwa B. ↓, Rai K. ↑,
Preview
Last 5 head-to-head matches Newport won 3.
Newport has a chain of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).
Doncaster is in a first-rate shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
Newport could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
Recently Newport have a series of guest games.
In this match Doncaster is a favorite.
Our prediction for today's Doncaster to win the game is with odds 1.71.
Last 6 head-to-head matches Newport won 3 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 8-4.
Including matches at home between the teams Newport won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 4-1.