The best margin for this event is 3.5%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Morecambe 13.4%
Draw 22.8%
Sheffield Wednesday 63.8%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
21.5%
27.5%
51%
Our Initial ML Estimation
21.2%
27.1%
51.7%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Morecambe has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.1%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Morecambe's form might have worsened.
Sheffield Wednesday has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+12.8%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Sheffield Wednesday's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Morecambe than the current prediction. (+7.8%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Morecambe, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sheffield Wednesday than the current prediction. (-12.1%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Sheffield Wednesday, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
27.3%
15.2%
57.6%
Morecambe - Sheffield Wednesday Predictions
Users Predictions:
33 users predict this event. Morecambe will win (votes: 9 - 27.3%). Sheff Wed will win (votes: 19 - 57.6%). It will Tie (votes: 5 - 15.2%). Confidence interval (95%) for Sheff Wed: 40.7% – 74.5%.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1
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Preview
Let's watch a game between leader and outsider (ranked 23 in the zone Relegation ~ League Two and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ League One (Play Offs)).
Morecambe has the most likely position - 24 (22.97%), has project points - 40, has currently - 4, has a good chance of relegated (62%), has a very small chance of prom. playoffs (<1%), has a very small chance of promoted (<1%), has a very small chance of win league (<1%).
Sheff Wed has the most likely position - 1 (20.12%), has project points - 87, has currently - 13, has a very small chance of relegated (<1%), has a chance of prom. playoffs (39%), has a chance of promoted (48%), has a chance of win league (20%).
One and the other team get a very uncertain game.
In this match Sheff Wed is certain favorite.
Last 2 head-to-head matches Morecambe won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 1-2.
Including matches at home between the teams Morecambe won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 1-0.