Match Info

Date: 3 September 2022, Saturday

Location: Memorial Stadium (Bristol)

Referee: Whitestone D. (Eng)


	Bristol Rovers		Morecambe

	1	X	2
	2	3.6	3.6
	2	3.4	3.5
	2	3.6	3.7
	1.99	3.45	3.45
	2.02	3.63	3.79
	1.95	3.5	3.7
	2	3.68	3.8	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.99 ↓ (2.11)	3.55 ↑ (3.43)	3.65 ↑ (3.55)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 3.4%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Bristol Rovers
47.4%

Draw
26.6%

Morecambe
25.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

45.2%

27.9%

26.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44.3%

28.5%

27.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Bristol Rovers has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.2%)

Morecambe has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Bristol Rovers than the current prediction. (-3.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Morecambe than the current prediction. (+1.5%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
76.2%	23.8%	0%

Bristol Rovers - Morecambe Predictions

Users Predictions: 21 users predict this event. Bristol Rovers will win (votes: 16 - 76.2%). It will Tie (votes: 5 - 23.8%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Bristol Rovers: 58% – 94.4%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

#ad

Preview

Team outsider and a mid-table team will meet during this match (ranked 15 and 23 in the zone Relegation ~ League Two).

Bristol Rovers has the most likely position - 20 (7.24%), has project points - 53, has currently - 7, has a chance of relegated (25%), has a very small chance of prom. playoffs (4%), has a very small chance of promoted (1%), has a very small chance of win league (<1%).

Morecambe has the most likely position - 24 (25.76%), has project points - 39, has currently - 3, has a good chance of relegated (64%), has a very small chance of prom. playoffs (<1%), has a very small chance of promoted (<1%), has a very small chance of win league (<1%).

This event has small quality 13, importance 38, small match rating 25. (0-100) (fivethirtyeight.com)

Last 5 head-to-head matches Bristol Rovers won 3.

Bristol Rovers is in awful shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recent matches Morecambe is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Morecambe could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Bristol Rovers is a favorite.

Last 6 head-to-head matches Bristol Rovers won 3 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 9-10.

Including matches at home between the teams Bristol Rovers won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 3-4.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Bristol Rovers
English EFL Trophy
30.08.22	Plymouth Argyle - Bristol Rovers	2:1 penalties ✺
English League One
27.08.22	Bristol Rovers - Shrewsbury Town	1:1 ✺
20.08.22	Portsmouth - Bristol Rovers	3:1 ✺
16.08.22	Barnsley - Bristol Rovers	3:0 ✺
13.08.22	Bristol Rovers - Oxford United	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.4 LTLLW
- Morecambe
English EFL Trophy
30.08.22	Morecambe - Everton U21	4:3 penalties ✺
English League One
27.08.22	Morecambe - Milton Keynes Dons	0:4 ✺
English League Cup
23.08.22	Rotherham United - Morecambe	0:1 ✺
English League One
20.08.22	Oxford United - Morecambe	1:1 ✺
16.08.22	Bolton Wanderers - Morecambe	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 17.6 WLWTL

Latest Head to Head

English League Two
20.02.16	Bristol Rovers - Morecambe	2:1
03.10.15	Morecambe - Bristol Rovers	3:4
29.03.14	Bristol Rovers - Morecambe	1:0
14.12.13	Morecambe - Bristol Rovers	2:1
23.02.13	Morecambe - Bristol Rovers	1:1
01.09.12	Bristol Rovers - Morecambe	0:3
11.02.12	Bristol Rovers - Morecambe	N/A

Upcoming Matches