Match Info

AUSTRALIA: NPL Victoria - Round 11

Date: 27 April 2024, Saturday


	Moreland City		Altona Magic

	1	X	2
				Watch
	2.8	3.6	2.15
	3.1	3.6	2	Watch
	2.83	4.18	2.23
	2.67	4.18	2.22
	2.78	3.64	2.24	Watch
	2.9	3.75	2.05
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.85 ↓ (3.17)	3.83 ↑ (3.66)	2.15 ↑ (2.03)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 4.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Moreland City
32.6%

Draw
24.2%

Altona Magic
43.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

29.2%

25.3%

45.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

28.7%

24.9%

46.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Moreland City has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.4%)

Altona Magic has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Moreland City than the current prediction. (-3.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Altona Magic than the current prediction. (+3.2%)

Moreland City - Altona Magic Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
14', 1 - 0, Ukuno A. (Pen),
41', 1 - 1, Sehavdic N. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 2)
75', 2 - 1, Arancibia J. ⚽,
76', 2 - 2, Anastovski D. ⚽,
83', 2 - 3, Rezai J. ⚽,

Preview

The game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 14 in the zone Relegation ~ Victoria Premier League and 9).

Moreland City has a line of defeats in latest matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Recent matches Altona Magic is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Moreland City could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match the chances to win of both teams are almost equal.

Our prediction for today's Altona Magic to win the game is with odds 2.15.

Last 2 head-to-head matches Moreland City won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 2-4.

Including matches at home between the teams Moreland City won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 1-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Moreland City FC
Australian NPL Victoria
19.04.24	Heidelberg United - Moreland City	3:2 ✺
13.04.24	Moreland City - Manningham United	1:4 ✺
06.04.24	Hume City - Moreland City	3:2 ✺
23.03.24	Moreland City - Dandenong City	1:2 ✺
16.03.24	Moreland City - Melbourne Knights	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLL
- Altona Magic
Australian NPL Victoria
20.04.24	Altona Magic - Melbourne Knights	1:0 ✺
13.04.24	Altona Magic - St Albans Dinamo	1:0 ✺
06.04.24	Avondale - Altona Magic	4:0 ✺
23.03.24	Port Melbourne Sharks - Altona Magic	1:1 ✺
16.03.24	Altona Magic - South Melbourne	1:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 17 WWLTL

Latest Head to Head

Australian NPL Victoria
10.06.23	Altona Magic - Moreland City	3:1
10.03.23	Moreland City - Altona Magic	1:1

Moreland City - Altona Magic: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide