Match Info

AUSTRALIA: NPL VICTORIA - ROUND 7

Date: 23 March 2024, Saturday


	Moreland City		Dandenong City

	1	X	2
				Watch
	4.33	4	1.63
	4.33	4	1.63	Watch
	4.63	4.32	1.68
	4.64	4.32	1.62
	4.33	3.9	1.6
	4.53	4.05	1.6	Watch
	4.2	3.95	1.64
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.43 ↑ (3.6)	4.08 ↑ (3.72)	1.63 ↓ (1.83)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 4.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Moreland City
20.8%

Draw
22.6%

Dandenong City
56.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

25.4%

24.6%

50%

Our Initial ML Estimation

24.8%

24%

51.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Moreland City has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.6%)

Dandenong City has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Dandenong City's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Moreland City than the current prediction. (+4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Dandenong City than the current prediction. (-5.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Dandenong City, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Moreland City - Dandenong City Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 2)
10', 0 - 1, Giannakopoulos T. ⚽,
36', 0 - 2, Kenny K. (Pen),
2nd Half (1 - 0)
68', 1 - 2, ⚽,

Preview

An autsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 14 in the zone Relegation and 7).

Moreland City has a line of defeats in latest matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Recent matches Dandenong City is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Moreland City could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Dandenong City is a favorite.

Our prediction for today's Dandenong City to win the game is with odds 1.65.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Moreland City FC
Australian NPL Victoria
16.03.24	Moreland City - Melbourne Knights	0:1 ✺
10.03.24	St Albans Dinamo - Moreland City	4:0 ✺
01.03.24	Moreland City - Avondale	0:1 ✺
24.02.24	Port Melbourne Sharks - Moreland City	3:1 ✺
16.02.24	Moreland City - South Melbourne	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLL
- Dandenong City SC
Australian NPL Victoria
15.03.24	Dandenong City - Dandenong Thunder	1:2 ✺
10.03.24	Melbourne Knights - Dandenong City	2:2 ✺
01.03.24	Dandenong City - Oakleigh Cannons	1:1 ✺
25.02.24	St Albans Dinamo - Dandenong City	1:3 ✺
16.02.24	Dandenong City - Altona Magic	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.7 LTTWW

Moreland City - Dandenong City: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide