Match Info

AUSTRALIA: NPL VICTORIA - ROUND 6

Date: 16 March 2024, Saturday


	Moreland City		Melbourne Knights

	1	X	2
				Watch
	5.25	4.33	1.49
	4.5	4.2	1.57	Watch
	5.9	4.8	1.48
	5.9	4.81	1.47
	5.85	4.5	1.43	Watch
	5.6	4.4	1.46
Avarage Now (Initially)	5.5 ↑ (4.42)	4.51 ↑ (4)	1.48 ↓ (1.59)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 5.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Moreland City
16.9%

Draw
20.6%

Melbourne Knights
62.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

20.5%

22.6%

56.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

21.6%

21.4%

54%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Moreland City has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.6%)

Melbourne Knights has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Melbourne Knights's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Moreland City than the current prediction. (+4.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Melbourne Knights than the current prediction. (-8.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Melbourne Knights, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Moreland City - Melbourne Knights Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Preview

An autsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 14 in the zone Relegation and 9).

Moreland City has a chain of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Recent matches Melbourne Knights is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Moreland City could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Recently Melbourne Knights have a series of home games.

In this match Melbourne Knights is a favorite.

Last 2 head-to-head matches Moreland City won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 2-6.

Including matches at home between the teams Moreland City won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 1-4.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Moreland City FC
Australian NPL Victoria
10.03.24	St Albans Dinamo - Moreland City	4:0 ✺
01.03.24	Moreland City - Avondale	0:1 ✺
24.02.24	Port Melbourne Sharks - Moreland City	3:1 ✺
16.02.24	Moreland City - South Melbourne	0:1 ✺
09.02.24	Green Gully - Moreland City	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLL
- Melbourne Knights
Australian NPL Victoria
10.03.24	Melbourne Knights - Dandenong City	2:2 ✺
03.03.24	Melbourne Knights - St Albans Dinamo	3:0 ✺
23.02.24	Melbourne Knights - Avondale	3:3 ✺
16.02.24	Melbourne Knights - Port Melbourne Sharks	1:3 ✺
08.02.24	South Melbourne - Melbourne Knights	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.2 TWTLL

Latest Head to Head

Australian NPL Victoria
16.07.23	Melbourne Knights - Moreland City	2:1
15.04.23	Moreland City - Melbourne Knights	1:4

Moreland City - Melbourne Knights: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide