Match Info

NPL Victoria - Round 13

Date: 10 May 2025, Saturday


	Altona Magic		Melbourne Knights

	1	X	2
				Watch
	2.1	3.5	3
	2.04	3.6	3	Watch
	2.16	3.78	3.1
	2.11	3.77	3.08	Watch
	2	3.6	3
	2.05	3.55	3.04	Watch
	2.04	3.6	3
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.07 ↓ (2.13)	3.63 ↓ (3.89)	3.03 ↑ (2.66)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Altona Magic
44.4%

Draw
25.3%

Melbourne Knights
30.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

42.6%

23.3%

34.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43.7%

22.7%

33.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Altona Magic has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.8%)

Melbourne Knights has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Altona Magic than the current prediction. (-0.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Melbourne Knights than the current prediction. (+2.9%)

Altona Magic - Melbourne Knights Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Altona Magic (votes: 2 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

DNB - Altona Magic (1.54) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH -1 - Altona Magic (2.89) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 4 Selected Experts predict this event. Altona Magic (votes: 4 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 0)
6', 1 - 0, Fabrizio D. ⚽,
41', 2 - 0, Frangie A. ⚽,
2nd Half (2 - 0)
63', 3 - 0, Theodorakopoulos C. ⚽,
65', 4 - 0, Habib B. ⚽,

Preview

We will watch a tense game between outsiders (ranked 13 in the zone Relegation ~ Victoria Premier League and 11).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Altona Magic won 2.

The current form of both teams is below expectations.

Altona Magic may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Recently, Melbourne Knights has had a series of home games.

Altona Magic is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

In the last 10 head-to-head matches, Altona Magic won 3 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 13:16. (average 1.3:1.6).

Including home matches between the teams, Altona Magic won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 6:4. (average 1.2:0.8).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Altona Magic
Australian NPL Victoria
02.05.25	Port Melbourne Sharks - Altona Magic	3:3 ✺
25.04.25	Altona Magic - Oakleigh Cannons	1:2 ✺
12.04.25	Avondale - Altona Magic	4:0 ✺
05.04.25	Altona Magic - South Melbourne	0:0 ✺
28.03.25	Heidelberg United - Altona Magic	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.3 TLLTL
- Melbourne Knights
Australian NPL Victoria
04.05.25	Melbourne Knights - Dandenong City	0:2 ✺
25.04.25	Hume City - Melbourne Knights	2:1 ✺
11.04.25	Melbourne Knights - Dandenong Thunder	0:3 ✺
04.04.25	Melbourne Knights - Preston Lions	0:1 ✺
30.03.25	Melbourne Knights - St Albans Dinamo	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.2 LLLLW

Latest Head to Head

Australian NPL Victoria
19.07.24	Melbourne Knights - Altona Magic	2:1
20.04.24	Altona Magic - Melbourne Knights	1:0
24.06.23	Altona Magic - Melbourne Knights	3:2
24.03.23	Melbourne Knights - Altona Magic	3:1
12.08.22	Melbourne Knights - Altona Magic	1:1
07.05.22	Altona Magic - Melbourne Knights	1:0
16.04.21	Melbourne Knights - Altona Magic	2:1

Altona Magic - Melbourne Knights: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide