Match Info

AUSTRALIA: Queensland Premier League - Round 22

Date: 18 August 2024, Sunday


	Moreton City Excelsior U21		Broadbeach United

	1	X	2
	8.5	7	1.19
	10.08	7.96	1.18
	9.78	7.05	1.19	Watch
	9.65	6.9	1.18	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	9.5 ↑ (5.17)	7.23 ↑ (5)	1.19 ↓ (1.41)

The most likely Over/Under: 4.25

The best margin for this event is 7.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Moreton City Excelsior U21
9.7%

Draw
12.7%

Broadbeach United
77.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

17.5%

18.1%

64.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

17.4%

18%

64.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Moreton City Excelsior U21 has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Moreton City Excelsior U21's form might have worsened.

Broadbeach United has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+13.3%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Broadbeach United's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Moreton City Excelsior U21 than the current prediction. (+7.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Moreton City Excelsior U21, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Broadbeach United than the current prediction. (-12.8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Broadbeach United, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Moreton City Excelsior U21 - Broadbeach United Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:3

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 2)
31', 0 - 1, ⚽,
34', 0 - 2, ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
72', 0 - 3, ⚽,

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Moreton City Excelsior U21
Australian Queensland Premier League
10.08.24	Logan Lightning - Moreton City Excelsior U21	5:0 ✺
02.08.24	Moreton City Excelsior U21 - Mitchelton	0:3 ✺
19.07.24	Southside Eagles - Moreton City Excelsior U21	5:1 ✺
13.07.24	Ipswich FC - Moreton City Excelsior U21	1:1 ✺
05.07.24	Moreton City Excelsior U21 - Brisbane Strikers	1:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.3 LLLTL
- Broadbeach United
Australian Queensland Premier League
10.08.24	Broadbeach United - Ipswich FC	1:2 ✺
04.08.24	Brisbane Strikers - Broadbeach United	2:2 ✺
27.07.24	Broadbeach United - South West Queensland Thunder	4:1 ✺
20.07.24	Broadbeach United - Eastern Suburbs	2:1 ✺
13.07.24	Capalaba - Broadbeach United	1:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16.4 LTWWW

Latest Head to Head

Australian Queensland Premier League
18.05.24	Broadbeach United - Moreton City Excelsior U21	5:0

Moreton City Excelsior U21 - Broadbeach United: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide