Match Info

ENGLAND: NPL Premier Division - Round 35

Date: 15 March 2025, Saturday


	Morpeth Town		Macclesfield Town

	1	X	2
	5	4.33	1.47
	5	4.5	1.47
	4.82	4.72	1.5
	5.18	4.6	1.53	Watch
	5.25	4.2	1.44
	5.42	4.45	1.45
	5	4.5	1.47
Avarage Now (Initially)	5.1 ↑ (3.92)	4.47 ↑ (3.71)	1.48 ↓ (1.75)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 6.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Morpeth Town
17.9%

Draw
20.4%

Macclesfield Town
61.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

23.3%

24.6%

52.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

22%

23.3%

55.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Morpeth Town has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.4%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Morpeth Town's form might have worsened.

Macclesfield Town has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Macclesfield Town's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Morpeth Town than the current prediction. (+4.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Macclesfield Town than the current prediction. (-6.6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Macclesfield Town, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Morpeth Town - Macclesfield Town Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 2)
43', 0 - 1, Mendy L. ⚽,
45+2', 0 - 2, Elliott D. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 2)
55', 0 - 3, Duffy L. ⚽,
71', 0 - 4, Elliott D. (Pen),

Preview

The most interesting match of the day. Two teams from the very top of the board will meet (ranked 7 and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ National League North).

Both teams in the last matches got series of victories.

Morpeth could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Macclesfield is a favorite.

Last 3 head-to-head matches Morpeth won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 2:5 (average 0.7:1.7).

Including matches at home between the teams Morpeth won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2:0

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Morpeth Town
English NPL Premier Division
08.03.25	Leek Town - Morpeth Town	0:1 ✺
01.03.25	Mickleover Sports - Morpeth Town	0:1 ✺
22.02.25	Morpeth Town - Bamber Bridge	2:2 ✺
15.02.25	Morpeth Town - Prescot Cables	3:1 ✺
08.02.25	Whitby Town - Morpeth Town	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.1 WWTWW
- Macclesfield Town
English NPL Premier Division
01.03.25	Macclesfield Town - Matlock Town	1:0 ✺
22.02.25	Lancaster City - Macclesfield Town	1:3 ✺
15.02.25	Warrington Rylands - Macclesfield Town	1:3 ✺
08.02.25	Macclesfield Town - Mickleover Sports	6:1 ✺
01.02.25	Hebburn Town - Macclesfield Town	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.5 WWWWT

Latest Head to Head

English NPL Premier Division
09.11.24	Macclesfield Town - Morpeth Town	2:0
23.03.24	Macclesfield Town - Morpeth Town	3:0
21.10.23	Morpeth Town - Macclesfield Town	2:0

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