Match Info

ENGLAND: NPL Premier Division - Round 34

Date: 1 March 2025, Saturday


	Mickleover Sports		Morpeth Town

	1	X	2
	2.15	3.4	2.7
	2.24	3.7	2.81
	2.2	3.6	2.7
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.2 ↓ (3.09)	3.57 ↓ (3.63)	2.74 ↑ (2.01)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 7.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Mickleover Sports
41.3%

Draw
25.5%

Morpeth Town
33.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

29.5%

25.1%

45.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

28.3%

24.1%

47.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Mickleover Sports has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+11.8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Mickleover Sports's performance.

Morpeth Town has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-12.2%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Morpeth Town might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Mickleover Sports than the current prediction. (-13%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Mickleover Sports that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Morpeth Town than the current prediction. (+14.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Morpeth Town could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Mickleover Sports - Morpeth Town Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
15', 0 - 1, Hodgson S. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)

Preview

A team from the mid-table and an outsider will play in this match (ranked 21 in the zone Relegation and 9).

Mickleover is in awful shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Morpeth is in a first-rate shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Recently Morpeth have a series of home games.

In this match the chances to achieve triumph for both teams are almost equal.

Last 5 head-to-head matches Mickleover won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 3:13 (average 0.6:2.6).

Including matches at home between the teams Mickleover won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 2:7 (average 0.7:2.3).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Mickleover Sports
English NPL Premier Division
22.02.25	Gainsborough Trinity - Mickleover Sports	0:0 ✺
15.02.25	Mickleover Sports - Stockton Town	1:0 ✺
08.02.25	Macclesfield Town - Mickleover Sports	6:1 ✺
01.02.25	Mickleover Sports - Bamber Bridge	0:1 ✺
28.01.25	Mickleover Sports - Ashton United	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.6 TWLLL
- Morpeth Town
English NPL Premier Division
22.02.25	Morpeth Town - Bamber Bridge	2:2 ✺
15.02.25	Morpeth Town - Prescot Cables	3:1 ✺
08.02.25	Whitby Town - Morpeth Town	0:2 ✺
01.02.25	Morpeth Town - Worksop Town	0:2 ✺
28.01.25	Morpeth Town - Guiseley	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.9 TWWLW

Latest Head to Head

English NPL Premier Division
05.11.24	Morpeth Town - Mickleover Sports	3:0
12.03.22	Morpeth Town - Mickleover Sports	3:1
09.10.21	Mickleover Sports - Morpeth Town	0:4
26.09.20	Mickleover Sports - Morpeth Town	1:2
08.10.19	Mickleover Sports - Morpeth Town	1:1

Mickleover Sports - Morpeth Town: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide