Match Info

ENGLAND: NPL PREMIER DIVISION - ROUND 36

Date: 18 March 2023, Saturday


	Morpeth Town		Stalybridge Celtic

	1	X	2
	2.1	3.3	2.87
	2.17	3.81	2.87
	2.1	3.4	2.9
	2.25	3.44	2.85
	2.15	3.5	2.9
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.15 ↓ (2.38)	3.49 ↑ (3.4)	2.88 ↑ (2.5)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 7.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Morpeth Town
42.3%

Draw
26.1%

Stalybridge Celtic
31.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

37.7%

26.4%

35.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

38.7%

25.7%

35%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Morpeth Town has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.6%)

Stalybridge Celtic has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Morpeth Town than the current prediction. (-3.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Stalybridge Celtic than the current prediction. (+3.4%)

Morpeth Town - Stalybridge Celtic Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

In a match only outsiders will meet (ranked 18 and 17).

Last 4 head-to-head matches Morpeth won 1.

Morpeth is in awful shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recent matches Stalybridge is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Stalybridge could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Recently Stalybridge have a series of home games.

Morpeth will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 6 head-to-head matches Morpeth won 1 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 5-6.

Including matches at home between the teams Morpeth won 0 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 1-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Morpeth Town
English NPL Premier Division
07.03.23	Marske United - Morpeth Town	2:1 ✺
04.03.23	Lancaster City - Morpeth Town	2:1 ✺
25.02.23	Morpeth Town - Nantwich Town	2:1 ✺
21.02.23	Morpeth Town - Liversedge	0:2 ✺
18.02.23	Marine - Morpeth Town	4:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.2 LLWLL
- Stalybridge Celtic
English NPL Premier Division
11.03.23	Stalybridge Celtic - South Shields	3:3 ✺
04.03.23	Stalybridge Celtic - Belper Town	2:1 ✺
25.02.23	Stalybridge Celtic - Stafford Rangers	0:2 ✺
21.02.23	Stalybridge Celtic - Matlock Town	2:3 ✺
18.02.23	United of Manchester - Stalybridge Celtic	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.4 TWLLT

Latest Head to Head

English NPL Premier Division
01.10.22	Stalybridge Celtic - Morpeth Town	0:3
25.01.22	Morpeth Town - Stalybridge Celtic	1:1
21.08.21	Stalybridge Celtic - Morpeth Town	2:0
27.10.20	Stalybridge Celtic - Morpeth Town	3:1

Morpeth Town - Stalybridge Celtic: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide