Match Info

ENGLAND: NPL Premier Division - Round 39

Date: 6 April 2024, Saturday


	Marine		Morpeth Town

	1	X	2
	1.39	5.25	5
	1.38	5	5.5
	1.4	5.41	5.58
	1.4	5.41	5.58
	1.44	4.33	4.8
	1.37	4.75	6.34
	1.38	5	5.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.39 ↑ (1.29)	5.02 ↓ (5.12)	5.47 ↓ (8.05)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 7.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Marine
65.3%

Draw
18.1%

Morpeth Town
16.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

70.8%

17.9%

11.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Marine has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.5%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Marine's form might have worsened.

Morpeth Town has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.3%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Morpeth Town's recent form is better than expected.

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (3 - 1)
53', 0 - 1, Barlow D. ⚽,
78', 1 - 1, Solomon S. ⚽,
81', 2 - 1, Sinclair-Smith F. ⚽,
90', 3 - 1, Grant B. ⚽,

Preview

One of which is a team leader another one is from mid-table (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ NPL Premier Division (Play Offs: ) and 13).

Both teams are now playing unstable.

Morpeth could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Recently Marine have a series of guest games.

In this match Marine is absolute favorite.

Last 3 head-to-head matches Marine won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 6-3.

Including matches at home between the teams Marine won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 4-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Marine FC
English NPL Premier Division
01.04.24	Warrington Rylands - Marine	2:0 ✺
30.03.24	Matlock Town - Marine	0:1 ✺
23.03.24	Lancaster City - Marine	0:2 ✺
16.03.24	Marine - Guiseley	1:0 ✺
02.03.24	Macclesfield Town - Marine	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.2 LWWWL
- Morpeth Town
English NPL Premier Division
30.03.24	Morpeth Town - Warrington Rylands	1:3 ✺
23.03.24	Macclesfield Town - Morpeth Town	3:0 ✺
19.03.24	Radcliffe - Morpeth Town	4:1 ✺
16.03.24	Morpeth Town - Lancaster City	2:0 ✺
09.03.24	Morpeth Town - Atherton Collieries	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.3 LLLWW

Latest Head to Head

English NPL Premier Division
12.12.23	Morpeth Town - Marine	1:0
18.02.23	Marine - Morpeth Town	4:2
05.11.22	Morpeth Town - Marine	0:2

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