Match Info

ENGLAND: NPL PREMIER DIVISION - ROUND 22

Date: 11 March 2023, Saturday


	Stalybridge Celtic		South Shields

	1	X	2
	6	3.8	1.46
	3.8	3.6	1.66
	3.9	3.45	1.71
	5.85	4.39	1.47
	5	3.75	1.53
	6.35	4.1	1.46
	6	4	1.47
Avarage Now (Initially)	5.27 ↑ (3.97)	3.87 ↑ (3.8)	1.54 ↓ (1.71)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 7.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Stalybridge Celtic
17.3%

Draw
23.5%

South Shields
59.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

22.9%

23.9%

53.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

22.6%

23.6%

53.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Stalybridge Celtic has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Stalybridge Celtic's form might have worsened.

South Shields has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting South Shields's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Stalybridge Celtic than the current prediction. (+5.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Stalybridge Celtic, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for South Shields than the current prediction. (-5.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for South Shields, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Stalybridge Celtic - South Shields Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Preview

This match will be held between outsider and one of leaders (ranked 20 in the zone Relegation and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ National League North).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Stalybridge won 0.

Recent matches Stalybridge is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

South Shields is in super good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

South Shields could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match South Shields is a favorite.

Last 9 head-to-head matches Stalybridge won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 8 matches and goals 7-21.

Including matches at home between the teams Stalybridge won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 4-10.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Stalybridge Celtic
English NPL Premier Division
04.03.23	Stalybridge Celtic - Belper Town	2:1 ✺
25.02.23	Stalybridge Celtic - Stafford Rangers	0:2 ✺
21.02.23	Stalybridge Celtic - Matlock Town	2:3 ✺
18.02.23	United of Manchester - Stalybridge Celtic	1:1 ✺
11.02.23	Stalybridge Celtic - Whitby Town	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.4 WLLTL
- South Shields FC
English NPL Premier Division
07.03.23	Matlock Town - South Shields	0:0 ✺
04.03.23	Marske United - South Shields	0:4 ✺
25.02.23	Belper Town - South Shields	0:1 ✺
18.02.23	South Shields - Matlock Town	1:1 ✺
14.02.23	Gainsborough Trinity - South Shields	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.9 TWWTT

Latest Head to Head

English FA Trophy
08.10.22	Stalybridge Celtic - South Shields	1:2
English NPL Premier Division
13.08.22	South Shields - Stalybridge Celtic	2:0
09.04.22	South Shields - Stalybridge Celtic	4:0
17.08.21	Stalybridge Celtic - South Shields	1:3
01.02.20	Stalybridge Celtic - South Shields	2:2
English FA Trophy
29.10.19	Stalybridge Celtic - South Shields	0:2
English NPL Premier Division
08.10.19	South Shields - Stalybridge Celtic	2:1

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