Match Info

Tercera RFEF - Group 2 - Round 31

Date: 19 April 2026, Sunday


	Mosconia		Lenense

	1	X	2
	1.31	4.25	9
	1.26	4.55	8.91
	1.32	4.53	9.17
	1.33	4.2	8.5
	1.34	4.5	7.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.31 ↓ (1.44)	4.41 ↑ (3.69)	8.62 ↑ (6.64)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 8.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Mosconia
69%

Draw
20.5%

Lenense
10.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

62.2%

24.3%

13.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

61.7%

24.1%

13.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Mosconia has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Mosconia's performance.

Lenense has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Mosconia than the current prediction. (-7.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Mosconia that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lenense than the current prediction. (+3.1%)

Mosconia - Lenense Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

(2 - 0)

Preview

One of the top teams will play against one of the outsiders (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Tercera RFEF ~ Group 2 (Play Offs: ) and 14).

Mosconia has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Lenense is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

In this match, Mosconia is the clear favorite.

In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Mosconia won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 4:1. (average 1:0.3).

Including home matches between the teams, Mosconia won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:0. (average 1:0).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
3	Mosconia	5	3	2	0	8:1	7	11

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CD Mosconia
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 2
12.04.26	San Martín - Mosconia	1:1 ✺
02.04.26	Mosconia - Covadonga	1:2 ✺
29.03.26	Avilés Stadium - Mosconia	2:0 ✺
22.03.26	Mosconia - Llanera	1:1 ✺
14.03.26	Real Titánico - Mosconia	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.9 TLLTW
- SD Lenense
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 2
12.04.26	Lenense - Ceares	4:2 ✺
02.04.26	Caudal Deportivo - Lenense	4:1 ✺
28.03.26	Lenense - Club Siero	2:0 ✺
22.03.26	Navarro - Lenense	1:2 ✺
15.03.26	Lenense - Gijón Industrial	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.1 WLWWT

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 2
14.12.25	Lenense - Mosconia	0:2
09.02.25	Mosconia - Lenense	1:0
26.03.22	Lenense - Mosconia	1:0
07.11.21	Mosconia - Lenense	1:0

Mosconia - Lenense: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide