Match Info

OBOS-ligaen - Round 21

Date: 30 August 2025, Saturday

Location: Melløs Stadion (Moss)

Referee: Stofringshaug M. (Nor)

Where to Watch on TV:


Norway	TV2 Play


	Moss		Mjøndalen

	1	X	2
	1.65	4	4.5
	1.71	3.75	4.1
	1.65	4.05	4.55
	1.69	4.13	4.63
	1.74	3.74	4.39	Watch
	1.73	3.6	4
	1.66	4.03	4.54	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.69 ↑ (1.62)	3.9 ↓ (4.24)	4.39 ↓ (4.73)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Moss
55%

Draw
23.8%

Mjøndalen
21.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

58%

22.1%

19.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

58.3%

22.2%

19.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Moss has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3%)

Mjøndalen has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Moss than the current prediction. (+3.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Mjøndalen than the current prediction. (-1.5%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
85.7%	0%	14.3%

Moss - Mjøndalen Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Moss (votes: 1 - 100%).

Users Predictions: Moss will win (6 of 7 users predict this - 85.71%).
Confidence interval (95%): 59.78% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Eriksen M. E. (G) 2. Cassidy M. 3. Strande K. (C) 4. Harrison K. 23. Barros J. 21. Gronli S. 9. Musbaudeen J. 17. Andersen P. 34. Fuglestad N. 11. Jakobsen T. 19. Memedov A.	87. Oy L. (G) 16. Godwin F. 2. Vik I. 5. Midtgarden E. (C) 6. Skau J. 15. Kvam F. 10. Saetherbo K. 3. Molund A. 11. Bruusgaard J. 20. Arierhi K. 7. Reutersward L.
Substitutes
15. Engesvik A. A. 16. Hoydal S. 46. Kvale W. 5. Race E. 47. Rossi L. 30. Skott-Grande M. (G) 6. van der Spa A. 8. Vold Krohg H. 24. Welinder M.	18. Arsbog N. 17. Bata K. 13. Bro P. S. (G) 27. Kekeli K. 14. Midtgard O. 25. Ogboji T. 34. Ween L. 8. Willumsen E.
Coaches
Nesselquist O. M.	Nicol K.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
18', Harrison K. 🟨,
19', 0 - 1, Bruusgaard J. ⚽,
30', 1 - 1, Gronli S. ⚽, Fuglestad N. (A),
39', Gronli S. 🟨,
2nd Half (2 - 0)
54', Godwin F. 🟨,
58', Oy L. 🟨,
59', 2 - 1, Jakobsen T. (Pen),
60', Arierhi K. ↓, Midtgard O. ↑,
67', Memedov A. ↓, Rossi L. ↑,
68', 3 - 1, Fuglestad N. ⚽, Gronli S. (A),
69', Midtgarden E. ↓, Arsbog N. ↑,
69', Reutersward L. ↓, Kekeli K. ↑,
71', Strande K. 🟨,
81', Bruusgaard J. ↓, Willumsen E. ↑,
81', Godwin F. ↓, Bata K. ↑,
81', Harrison K. ↓, van der Spa A. ↑,
81', Musbaudeen J. ↓, Vold Krohg H. ↑,
87', Molund A. 🟨,
88', Gronli S. ↓, Race E. ↑,
90', Vold Krohg H. 🟨,

Preview

In this match, only outsiders will meet (ranked 13 and 15 in the zone Relegation).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Moss won 2.

Moss is currently in poor form (last 5 games: 1 wins).

In recent matches, Mjøndalen has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

In this match, Moss is a strong favorite.

In the last 9 head-to-head matches, Moss won 5 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 16:12. (average 1.8:1.3).

Including home matches between the teams, Moss won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 5:1. (average 2.5:0.5).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Moss FK
Norwegian NM Cup
27.08.25	Kjelsås - Moss	2:1 ✺
Norwegian Adeccoligaen
23.08.25	Sogndal - Moss	3:1 ✺
17.08.25	Moss - Odd	2:2 ✺
Norwegian NM Cup
13.08.25	Råde - Moss	0:1 ✺
Norwegian Adeccoligaen
10.08.25	Moss - Åsane	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.4 LLTWL
- Mjøndalen IF
Norwegian NM Cup
27.08.25	Asker Fotball - Mjøndalen	1:4 ✺
Norwegian Adeccoligaen
23.08.25	Mjøndalen - Hødd	1:1 ✺
18.08.25	Kongsvinger - Mjøndalen	4:3 ✺
Norwegian NM Cup
13.08.25	Vestfossen - Mjøndalen	1:5
Norwegian Adeccoligaen
10.08.25	Mjøndalen - Sogndal	2:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 23.1 WTLWL

Latest Head to Head

Norwegian Adeccoligaen
15.06.25	Mjøndalen - Moss	2:2
Club Friendly
15.03.25	Mjøndalen - Moss	3:1
Norwegian Adeccoligaen
01.09.24	Moss - Mjøndalen	1:0
27.05.24	Mjøndalen - Moss	1:2
Club Friendly
07.03.24	Mjøndalen - Moss	0:0
Norwegian Adeccoligaen
20.08.23	Moss - Mjøndalen	4:1
01.07.23	Mjøndalen - Moss	1:2

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