The best margin for this event is 4.8%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Moss 49.4%
Draw 25.7%
Åsane 24.9%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
39.9%
26.8%
33.3%
Our Initial ML Estimation
40.3%
26.5%
33%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Moss has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.5%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Moss's performance.
Åsane has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.4%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Åsane might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Moss than the current prediction. (-9.1%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Moss that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Åsane than the current prediction. (+8.1%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Åsane could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
58.3%
8.3%
33.3%
Moss - Åsane Predictions
Users Predictions:
12 users predict this event. Moss will win (votes: 7 - 58.3%). Åsane will win (votes: 4 - 33.3%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 8.3%). Confidence interval (95%) for Moss: 30.4% – 86.2%.
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Moss will win (4 of 4 users predict this - 100%) 🥈 Silver Tip.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Eriksen M. E. (G) 2. Cassidy M. 3. Strande K. (C) 6. van der Spa A. 23. Barros J. 26. Isufi B. 9. Musbaudeen J. 17. Andersen P. 11. Jakobsen T. 49. Afonso M. 19. Memedov A.
99. Ree M. (G) 4. Lereng E. 3. Steen E. 18. Kallevag O. 20. Nygard S. 5. Iversen E. 10. Barmen K. (C) 8. Sildnes E. 15. Oprea F. 29. Gronner E. 11. Skalevik S.
Substitutes
15. Engesvik A. A. 21. Gronli S. 16. Hoydal S. 46. Kvale W. 29. Mayonga M. 30. Skott-Grande M. (G) 20. Sorensen K. 24. Welinder M.
17. Gebrezgi N. 21. Lucky E. 9. Myklebust E. 6. Nilsen O. 24. Selin S. (G) 22. Wolfe D.
Coaches
Nesselquist O. M.
Bakke E.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 0)
21', 1 - 0, Musbaudeen J. ⚽, Afonso M. (A),
2nd Half (0 - 2)
46', Strande K. ↓, Welinder M. ↑,
49', 1 - 1, Barmen K. ⚽, Sildnes E. (A),
63', Isufi B. ↓, Engesvik A. A. ↑,
63', Barros J. ↓, Kvale W. ↑,
63', Afonso M. ↓, Gronli S. ↑,
63', Nygard S. ↓, Myklebust E. ↑,
64', Gronner E. ↓, Gebrezgi N. ↑,
72', Iversen E. 🟨,
78', 1 - 2, Skalevik S. ⚽, Gebrezgi N. (A),
79', Skalevik S. ↓, Wolfe D. ↑,
79', Iversen E. ↓, Lucky E. ↑,
79', Musbaudeen J. ↓, Sorensen K. ↑,
85', Steen E. ↓, Nilsen O. ↑,
88', 🟨,
90+1', Wolfe D. 🟨,
Preview
The two neighboring teams will play an exciting match (ranked 11 and 13)
Moss has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 1 wins).
Åsane has suffered multiple defeats recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
Moss will hold a modest advantage in this match.
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Moss won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 8:6. (average 1.6:1.2).
Including home matches between the teams, Moss won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:1. (average 1:0.5).
Norway
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Eriksen M. E. (G) 
Barros J. 
Musbaudeen J. 
Afonso M. 
Memedov A. 
Gebrezgi N. 
