Match Info

OBOS-ligaen - Round 8

Date: 20 May 2026, Wednesday

Location: Melløs Stadion (Moss)

Referee: Grundt J. W. (Nor)

Where to Watch on TV:


Norway	TV2 Play


	Moss		Strømsgodset

	1	X	2
	3.5	4.5	1.73
	3.65	4.25	1.78	Watch
	3.66	4.68	1.82
	3.18	4.95	1.83	Watch
	3.5	4	1.75
	3.59	4.4	1.76	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.51 ↑ (3.44)	4.46 ↓ (5.03)	1.78 ↑ (1.72)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 3.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Moss
26.6%

Draw
20.9%

Strømsgodset
52.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

27.1%

18.6%

54.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

26.5%

18.2%

55.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Moss has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.5%)

Strømsgodset has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Moss than the current prediction. (-0.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Strømsgodset than the current prediction. (+3.1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
14.3%	57.1%	28.6%

Moss - Strømsgodset Predictions

Users Predictions: 7 users predict this event. Moss will win (votes: 1 - 14.3%). Strømsgodset will win (votes: 2 - 28.6%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 57.1%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Eriksen M. (G) 2. Cassidy M. 24. Olofsson W. 14. Musbaudeen J. 3. Strande K. (C) 17. Andersen P. 16. Kvale W. 21. Gronli S. 9. Aga O. 7. Laegreid J. 20. Semmen N.	12. Lampinen-Skaug S. (G) 3. Dedes V. 71. Valsvik G. (C) 10. Stengel H. 25. Taaje J. 22. Antonsen K. 26. Vilsvik L. 16. Vilaseca Ardraa F. P. 9. Melkersen E. 11. Pingel S. 77. Mehnert M.
Substitutes
4. Harrison K. 31. Harveg J. 23. Hermanstad R. 11. Jakobsen T. 32. Lovtangen F. 22. Ogbole J. 5. Race E. 30. Skott-Grande M. (G) 8. Vold Krohg H.	14. Enersen O. 15. Heredia-Randen A. 8. Krasniqi K. 1. Lamhauge M. (G) 37. Marcello Silalahi S. A. 5. Sormo B. 39. Spiten M. 4. van der Spa A. 80. Wikheim G.
Coaches
Nesselquist O. M.	Hoseth M.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
12', 1 - 0, Aga O. ⚽, Laegreid J. (A),
2nd Half (0 - 1)
52', Taaje J. 🟨,
62', Musbaudeen J. ↓, Vold Krohg H. ↑,
68', 1 - 1, Mehnert M. ⚽,
70', Melkersen E. ↓, Wikheim G. ↑,
70', Vilsvik L. ↓, Enersen O. ↑,
72', Andersen P. ↓, Jakobsen T. ↑,
72', Aga O. ↓, Hermanstad R. ↑,
72', Gronli S. ↓, Harrison K. ↑,
78', Dedes V. ↓, Krasniqi K. ↑,
85', Taaje J. ↓, Sormo B. ↑,
85', Vilaseca Ardraa F. P. ↓, Marcello Silalahi S. A. ↑,
90+1', Hermanstad R. 🟨,

Preview

A mid-table team takes on a leader in this match (ranked 7 and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Eliteserien).

Moss has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Strømsgodset is showing excellent form with consecutive wins (last 5 games: 4 wins).

In this match, Strømsgodset is a strong favorite.

In recent times, the teams did not meet on the field.

Outrights of Norwegian Adeccoligaen for now

Stromsgodset: 11.04%

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
3	Stromsgodset	24	15	6	3	61:31	30	51
13	Moss	24	7	4	13	38:54	-16	25

Last Results with these Odds

Moss - the odds 3.44 are the expected chance of winning is 27.15%, but this team recently wins 14% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Moss FK
Norwegian Adeccoligaen
16.05.26	Odd - Moss	2:3 ✺
10.05.26	Moss - Bryne	2:3 ✺
01.05.26	Ranheim - Moss	4:0 ✺
26.04.26	Moss - Lyn	2:1 ✺
18.04.26	Kongsvinger - Moss	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.9 WLLWL
- Strømsgodset IF
Norwegian Adeccoligaen
16.05.26	Strømsgodset - Ranheim	5:4 ✺
10.05.26	Åsane - Strømsgodset	0:3 ✺
01.05.26	Strømsgodset - Strømmen	3:0 ✺
26.04.26	Sandnes Ulf - Strømsgodset	1:1 ✺
18.04.26	Strømsgodset - Sogndal	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.3 WWWTW

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