Match Info

Premier League - First stage - Main - Round 4

Date: 5 September 2026, Saturday

Location: Ta'Qali National Stadium (Ta' Qali)

Where to Watch on TV:


Usa	SportsEngine Play


	Marsaxlokk		Mosta

	1	X	2
	1.63	3.50	4.50
	1.68	3.35	4.40
	1.69	3.55	4.81
	1.69	3.62	4.55	Watch
	1.66	3.35	4.40
	1.66	3.52	4.68
	1.68	3.35	4.40
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.67 ↓ (1.92)	3.46 ↓ (3.5)	4.53 ↑ (3.71)

The most likely Over/Under: 6.50

The best margin for this event is 8.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Marsaxlokk
54%

Draw
26.1%

Mosta
19.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

48.4%

26.6%

25%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Marsaxlokk has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Marsaxlokk's performance.

Mosta has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Mosta might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

Marsaxlokk - Mosta Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
22. Mafoumbi C. (G) 27. Aguirre L. 8. Arias U. 11. Corbalan J. C. 10. Dodo 4. El Hasni O. 20. Garcia M. 9. Linden R. 25. Minala J. 6. Muscat N. (C) 5. Pepe E.	22. Udoh A. (G) 66. Acheampong G. 20. Afriyie P. 30. Cross N. 26. Ezejiofor O. 6. Frendo N. 29. Oderinde C. 42. Pedro Cacho 7. Portelli N. 93. Thiaguinho 11. Zammit K. (C)
Substitutes
14. Attard E. 24. Caruana L. 23. Caruana T. 1. Cassar A. (G) 15. Galea N. 16. Karamitsios G. 26. Maniscalco M. 28. Mihana R. 33. Simkus D. 17. Smajlagic S. 3. Weder	14. Agyiri E. 15. Attard L. 19. Debono R. 13. Ebere E. 33. Farrugia B. 99. Farrugia J. (G) 74. Luke U. 9. Ohaka P. 4. Ugwu E. 94. Vassallo S. 96. Wanderson Gotinha
Coaches
Potenza V.	Grech J.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
5', 0 - 1, Pedro Cacho ⚽,
11', 1 - 1, Linden R. ⚽,
15', Pedro Cacho ↓, Ugwu E. ↑,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
55', Zammit K. 🟨,
64', Minala J. 🟨,
72', 🟨,
73', Linden R. ↓, Mihana R. ↑,
73', Garcia M. ↓, Simkus D. ↑,
73', Dodo ↓, Smajlagic S. ↑,
74', Acheampong G. ↓, Agyiri E. ↑,
74', Portelli N. ↓, Ohaka P. ↑,
75', Ezejiofor O. ↓, Ebere E. ↑,
84', Muscat N. ↓, Caruana L. ↑,
84', Arias U. ↓, Attard E. ↑,
90+2', Agyiri E. ↓, Wanderson Gotinha ↑,

Preview

One of today’s top clashes will feature two teams fighting for the top spots (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Premier League (First stage ~ Top 6: ) and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Premier League (First stage ~ Top 6: )).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Marsaxlokk won 3.

Marsaxlokk has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Marsaxlokk may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Marsaxlokk is considered a favorite.

In the last 10 head-to-head matches, Marsaxlokk won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 17:22. (average 1.7:2.2).

Including home matches between the teams, Marsaxlokk won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 7:14. (average 1.4:2.8).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
3	Marsaxlokk	6	3	2	1	11:9	2	11
6	Mosta	5	3	1	1	7:5	2	10

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Marsaxlokk FC
Maltese Premier League
28.08.26	Valletta - Marsaxlokk	1:2 ✺
21.08.26	Marsaxlokk - Paola Hibernians	1:0 ✺
14.08.26	Balzan - Marsaxlokk	1:1 ✺
Club Friendly
25.07.26	Marsaxlokk - Żabbar St. Patrick	0:0 ✺
UEFA Europa Conference League
16.07.26	Pyunik - Marsaxlokk	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.2 WWTTL
- Mosta FC
Maltese Premier League
30.08.26	Mosta - Birkirkara	1:0 ✺
Club Friendly
31.07.26	Mosta - Balzan	0:2 ✺
24.07.26	Gżira United - Mosta	1:1 ✺
17.07.26	Mosta - Birżebbuġa St. Peters	0:4 ✺
Maltese Premier League
10.05.26	Naxxar Lions - Mosta	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 18.4 WLTLW

Latest Head to Head

Maltese Premier League
28.02.26	Mosta - Marsaxlokk	1:2
17.08.25	Marsaxlokk - Mosta	3:1
04.04.25	Mosta - Marsaxlokk	0:4
14.02.25	Mosta - Marsaxlokk	2:1
Maltese FA Trophy
11.01.25	Marsaxlokk - Mosta	0:3
Maltese Premier League
23.09.24	Marsaxlokk - Mosta	2:4
03.03.24	Marsaxlokk - Mosta	1:2

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