Match Info

Premier League - First stage - Main - Round 8

Date: 5 October 2025, Sunday

Where to Watch on TV:


Malta	TVM Sport+


	Sliema Wanderers		Hamrun Spartans

	1	X	2
	3.15	2.88	2.25
	3.42	2.99	2.46
	3.05	3.01	2.38	Watch
	3.23	2.99	2.2
	3.3	3	2.08
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.23 ↑ (2.65)	2.97 ↓ (3.25)	2.27 ↓ (2.34)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 3.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Sliema Wanderers
28.5%

Draw
31%

Hamrun Spartans
40.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

33.9%

27.7%

38.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

34.1%

27.8%

38.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Sliema Wanderers has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.4%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Sliema Wanderers's form might have worsened.

Hamrun Spartans has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sliema Wanderers than the current prediction. (+5.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Sliema Wanderers, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Hamrun Spartans than the current prediction. (-2.3%)

Sliema Wanderers - Hamrun Spartans Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
25. Agu E. (G) 2. Borg J. (C) 94. Fernandinho 5. Frendo N. 15. Gustavo Alcino 98. Miguel Baggio 7. Overend A. 9. Plut V. 12. Prsa R. 93. Thiaguinho 20. Wescley	1. Bonello H. (C) 27. Bjelicic O. 20. Cadjenovic J. 94. Camenzuli R. 24. Coric A. 25. Ederson 47. El Fanis M. 10. Mbong J. 13. Polito V. 2. Rafael Compri 14. Smajlagic S.
Substitutes
18. Agius E. 17. Bah M. 11. Beerman M. 4. Catania A. 42. Diarra B. 1. Lauri F. (G) 10. Montebello L. 31. Murilo Henrique 14. Nwoko K. 70. Pisani S. 21. Strickland N.	7. Attard S. 12. Camilleri M. (G) 16. Camilleri S. 8. Garcia M. 19. Koffi N. 6. Letherby D. 3. Micallef N. 33. Simkus D. 9. Thioune S. 55. Vella K. 5. Xerri S.
Coaches
Zammit P.	Modica G.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
19', 1 - 0, Fernandinho ⚽,
30', Smajlagic S. 🟥,
42', Fernandinho 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', El Fanis M. ↓, Simkus D. ↑,
46', Ederson ↓, Koffi N. ↑,
46', Cadjenovic J. ↓, Thioune S. ↑,
46', Rafael Compri ↓, Xerri S. ↑,
54', Fernandinho ↓, Bah M. ↑,
56', Gustavo Alcino 🟨,
69', 2 - 0, Plut V. ⚽,
78', 🟨,
88', 🟨,
90+6', 🟨,

Preview

Enjoy a meeting between a mid-ranked team and one of the leaders (ranked 7 in the zone Premier League (First stage ~ Play Out: ) and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Premier League (First stage ~ Top 6: )).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Sliema Wanderers won 1.

Sliema Wanderers has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Hamrun is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Hamrun may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Recently, Sliema Wanderers has had a series of home games.

Hamrun could have a small edge in this match.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Sliema Wanderers won 9 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 20:20. (average 1:1).

Including home matches between the teams, Sliema Wanderers won 4 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 9:9. (average 0.9:0.9).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Sliema Wanderers
Maltese Premier League
28.09.25	Sliema Wanderers - Naxxar Lions	0:4 ✺
24.09.25	Sliema Wanderers - Gżira United	2:0 ✺
21.09.25	Sliema Wanderers - Valletta	1:1 ✺
16.09.25	Sliema Wanderers - Birkirkara	2:2 ✺
13.09.25	Sliema Wanderers - Tarxien Rainbows	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.4 LWTTW
- Hamrun Spartans
UEFA Europa Conference League
02.10.25	Jagiellonia Białystok - Hamrun Spartans	1:0 ✺
Maltese Premier League
27.09.25	Hamrun Spartans - Paola Hibernians	2:0 ✺
23.09.25	Marsaxlokk - Hamrun Spartans	0:2 ✺
20.09.25	Hamrun Spartans - Gżira United	0:0 ✺
16.09.25	Żabbar St. Patrick - Hamrun Spartans	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.3 LWWTW

Latest Head to Head

Maltese Premier League
27.04.25	Sliema Wanderers - Hamrun Spartans	1:1
13.03.25	Hamrun Spartans - Sliema Wanderers	0:1
Maltese FA Trophy
05.03.25	Hamrun Spartans - Sliema Wanderers	2:0
Maltese Super Cup
13.12.24	Hamrun Spartans - Sliema Wanderers	2:0
Maltese Premier League
29.11.24	Sliema Wanderers - Hamrun Spartans	1:1
25.10.24	Sliema Wanderers - Hamrun Spartans	1:0
Club Friendly
10.08.24	Hamrun Spartans - Sliema Wanderers	1:2

Sliema Wanderers - Hamrun Spartans: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide