Match Info

BRAZIL: Copa do Nordeste - Round 2

Date: 5 February 2025, Wednesday

Location: Estádio Governador João Castelo (São Luís)

Where to Watch on TV:


Brazil	Amazon Prime Video, Claro TV+, Premiere, Sky+, Vivo Play, Zapping


	Moto Club de São Luís		Ferroviário Fortaleza

	1	X	2
	2.3	3	3.1
	2.35	3	2.95
	2.44	3	3.3
	2.36	2.88	3.16	Watch
	2.4	2.8	3
	2.31	2.95	3.06
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.36 ↓ (2.65)	2.94 ↓ (2.95)	3.1 ↑ (2.64)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 4.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Moto Club de São Luís
39%

Draw
31.3%

Ferroviário Fortaleza
29.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

34.5%

31%

34.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

35.9%

29.8%

33.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Moto Club de São Luís has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.5%)

Ferroviário Fortaleza has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Moto Club de São Luís than the current prediction. (-3.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ferroviário Fortaleza than the current prediction. (+3.6%)

Moto Club de São Luís - Ferroviário Fortaleza Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Allan Thiago (G) 2. Deyverson I. 8. Dos Anjos 5. Felipe Dias (C) 10. Hadrian 7. Lipek 6. Matheus Silva 9. Sena R. 4. Vitor Carvalho 11. Warllem Mateus 3. Yago Ramon	29. Joao Soares (G) 6. Carlos Junio 23. Iago Reis 7. Jan 5. Joao Vitor 13. Lucas Ramires 19. Matheus Xavier 2. Rikelmy (C) 17. Rivas K. 20. Rodrigo Fuzil 24. Wendel
Substitutes
13. Anderson 17. Danilo Pires 12. Douglas Henrique (G) 24. Jeferson Bruno 15. Lucas Gomes 14. Luis Fernando 19. Magno El Lobo 16. Matheusinho 21. Paulo Renato 18. Pinheiro L. 22. Richard 20. Willyan Bolinha	1. Henrique (G) 21. Joao Kayky 22. Kaue Leonardo 26. Rosa B. 16. Thiago Pulga 25. Victor Diotti

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
30', Matheus Silva 🟨,
40', Joao Vitor 🟨,
45', 1 - 0, Luis Lipek ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', Hadrian ↓, Danilo Pires ↑,
46', Wendel ↓, Joao Kayky ↑,
51', Carlos Junio 🟨,
57', Dos Anjos ↓, Lucas Gomes ↑,
62', Luis Lipek ↓, Magno El Lobo ↑,
67', 🟨,
67', Rivas K. 🟨,
78', Warllem Mateus ↓, Paulo Renato ↑,
79', Carlos Junio ↓, Victor Diotti ↑,
79', Rivas K. ↓, Kaue Leonardo ↑,
79', Matheus Xavier ↓, Rosa B. ↑,
79', Jan ↓, Thiago Pulga ↑,
79', 🟨,
80', 1 - 1, Kaue Leonardo ⚽,

Preview

Two teams are in a poor body shape now.

Moto Club could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Recently Moto Club have a series of guest games.

Recently Ferroviário have a series of home games.

The chances to win of two teams are almost the same in this match.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Moto Club de São Luís
Brazilian Campeonato Maranhense
01.02.25	Sampaio Corrêa - Moto Club de São Luís	1:1 ✺
29.01.25	Tuntum - Moto Club de São Luís	1:1 ✺
26.01.25	Pinheiro - Moto Club de São Luís	1:0 ✺
Brazilian Copa do Nordeste
23.01.25	Fortaleza - Moto Club de São Luís	2:0 ✺
Brazilian Campeonato Maranhense
12.01.25	Moto Club de São Luís - Maranhão	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10 TTLLT
- Ferroviário Fortaleza
Brazilian Campeonato Cearense
02.02.25	Ferroviário Fortaleza - Maracanã	1:0 ✺
29.01.25	Floresta - Ferroviário Fortaleza	3:3 ✺
26.01.25	Ferroviário Fortaleza - Ceará	1:2 ✺
Brazilian Copa do Nordeste
22.01.25	Ferroviário Fortaleza - Sport Recife	1:2 ✺
Brazilian Campeonato Cearense
19.01.25	Ferroviário Fortaleza - Horizonte	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.1 WTLLL

Moto Club de São Luís - Ferroviário Fortaleza: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide