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Current Win Probability
Motor Lublin 41.4%
Draw 28.3%
Korona Kielce 30.2%
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
35.7%
28.6%
35.7%
Our Initial ML Estimation
34.8%
29.3%
36.6%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Motor Lublin has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.7%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Motor Lublin's performance.
Korona Kielce has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.5%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Korona Kielce might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Motor Lublin than the current prediction. (-6.6%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Motor Lublin that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Korona Kielce than the current prediction. (+6.4%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Korona Kielce could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
30%
60%
10%
Motor Lublin - Korona Kielce Predictions
Users Predictions:
10 users predict this event. Motor will win (votes: 3 - 30%). Korona will win (votes: 1 - 10%). It will Tie (votes: 6 - 60%). Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 29.6% – 90.4%.
Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Tie (votes: 1 - 100%).
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 2 - 100%) .
AH 0 - Korona (2.27) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
BTTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Korona (votes: 1 - 50%). Tie (votes: 1 - 50%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Brkic I. (G) 28. Stolarski P. 18. Najemski A. 3. Matthys H. 24. Luberecki F. 21. Labojko J. 30. Ndiaye M. 7. Rodrigues I. 68. Wolski B. (C) 11. Fabio Ronaldo 9. Czubak K.
1. Dziekonski X. (G) 24. Smolarczyk B. 44. Sotiriou K. 6. Pieczek M. 37. Zwozny H. 86. Gustafson S. 88. Svetlin T. 21. Ciszek K. 71. Dlugosz W. (C) 14. Stepinski M. 70. Antonin
Substitutes
39. Bartos M. 77. Dadashov R. 42. Ede B. 10. Karasek K. 26. Krol M. 16. Lewandowski F. 2. Meyer P. 6. Samper S. 29. Santos T. 33. Tratnik G. (G) 19. van Hoeven B. 17. Wojcik F.
77. Cebula M. 9. Davidovic S. 87. Mamla R. (G) 11. Nikolov V. 15. Niski N. 10. Nono 26. Popov V. 8. Remacle M. 5. Resta P. 23. Rubezic S.
Coaches
Stolarski M.
Zielinski J.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (2 - 0)
18', 1 - 0, Ndiaye M. ⚽, Luberecki F. (A),
30', Ndiaye M. 🟨,
34', 2 - 0, Czubak K. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Smolarczyk B. ↓, Rubezic S. ↑,
46', Zwozny H. ↓, Remacle M. ↑,
49', Najemski A. 🟨,
67', Rubezic S. 🟨,
72', Gustafson S. ↓, Davidovic S. ↑,
72', Najemski A. ↓, Bartos M. ↑,
72', Ndiaye M. ↓, Santos T. ↑,
72', Labojko J. ↓, Samper S. ↑,
72', Antonin ↓, Cebula M. ↑,
76', Fabio Ronaldo 🟨,
82', Luberecki F. ↓, Meyer P. ↑,
82', Czubak K. ↓, Dadashov R. ↑,
87', Rodrigues I. 🟨,
89', Dlugosz W. ↓, Niski N. ↑,
Preview
The game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 14 and 8).
Both teams have been playing unpredictably.
Korona may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.
There will not play in Motor: Plichta K.
(Inactive)
Scalet M.
(Inactive)
There will not play in Korona: Matuszewski K.
(Inactive)
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Motor won 0 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 3:6. (average 0.6:1.2).
Including home match between the teams, Motor won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:1.
Standings
Pl
W
D
L
Diff
Pts
9
Korona Kielce
12
5
3
4
14:18
-4
18
12
Motor Lublin
12
3
4
5
17:21
-4
13
Outrights of Polish Ekstraklasa for now
Korona Kielce: 1.53% Motor Lublin: 0.54%
Last Results with these Odds
Motor Lublin - the odds 2.5 are the expected chance of winning is 35.7%, but this team recently wins 73% of matches with these odds.
Korona Kielce - the odds 2.5 are the expected chance of winning is 35.7%, but this team recently wins 42% of matches with these odds.
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Brkic I. (G) 
Stolarski P. 
Matthys H. 
Ndiaye M. 
Rodrigues I. 
Sotiriou K. 
Gustafson S. 
Svetlin T. 
Antonin 
Bartos M. 
Dadashov R. 
Santos T. 
van Hoeven B. 
Nikolov V. 
Rubezic S. 
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