Match Info

Ekstraklasa - Round 19

Date: 1 February 2026, Sunday

Location: Motor Lublin Arena (Lublin)

Referee: Kuzma L. (Pol)

Where to Watch on TV:


Bosnia-and-herzegovina	Arena Sport 4
Canada	beIN Connect
Croatia	Arena Sport 3, MAXtv To Go
Finland	Veikkaus TV
Poland	CANAL+ 360, CANAL+ Sport 3, Ekstraklasa TV
Usa	beIN Connect, Fanatiz


	Motor Lublin		Pogoń Szczecin

	1	X	2
	2.55	3.5	2.38	Watch
	2.58	3.55	2.42	Watch
	2.75	3.58	2.52
	2.68	3.66	2.49	Watch
	2.63	3.3	2.45
	2.7	3.56	2.5	Watch
	2.66	3.6	2.42
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.65 ↑ (2.62)	3.54 ↑ (3.44)	2.45 (2.45)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Motor Lublin
35.3%

Draw
26.5%

Pogoń Szczecin
38.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

35.4%

26.9%

37.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Motor Lublin has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.1%)

Pogoń Szczecin has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
36.4%	27.3%	36.4%

Motor Lublin - Pogoń Szczecin Predictions

Users Predictions: 11 users predict this event. Motor will win (votes: 4 - 36.4%). Pogoń Szczecin will win (votes: 4 - 36.4%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 27.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Motor: 8% – 64.8%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 4 Selected Experts predict this event. Pogoń Szczecin (votes: 2 - 50%). Tie (votes: 2 - 50%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 3 - under (votes: 2 - 100%) .

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Brkic I. (G) 28. Stolarski P. 39. Bartos M. 3. Matthys H. 24. Luberecki F. 6. Samper S. 68. Wolski B. (C) 7. Rodrigues I. 30. Ndiaye M. 9. Czubak K. 11. Fabio Ronaldo	77. Cojocaru V. (G) 28. Wahlqvist L. 13. Keramitsis D. 41. Szalai At. 7. Juwara M. 8. Ulvestad F. 14. Pozo J. 32. Koutris L. 90. Greenwood S. 11. Grosicki K. (C) 18. Mukairu P.
Substitutes
77. Dadashov R. 42. Ede B. 10. Karasek K. 26. Krol M. 99. Kukulski P. (G) 21. Labojko J. 16. Lewandowski F. 2. Meyer P. 18. Najemski A. 47. Palacz K. 33. Tratnik G. (G) 17. Wojcik F.	15. Ali H. 24. Angielski K. 6. Bieganski J. 2. Huja M. 31. Kaminski K. (G) 4. Leo Borges 17. Lis J. 19. Ndiaye M. 20. Paryzek P. 61. Smolinski K. 35. Wojciechowski M.
Coaches
Stolarski M.	Thomasberg T.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 1)
3', 1 - 0, Czubak K. ⚽, Fabio Ronaldo (A),
27', 2 - 0, Ndiaye M. ⚽, Wolski B. (A),
36', 2 - 1, Ulvestad F. ⚽,
37', Pozo J. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Luberecki F. 🟨,
61', Samper S. ↓, Labojko J. ↑,
62', Greenwood S. ↓, Angielski K. ↑,
62', Koutris L. ↓, Leo Borges ↑,
69', Grosicki K. (Penalty Awarded),
73', Fabio Ronaldo ↓, Krol M. ↑,
73', Czubak K. ↓, Dadashov R. ↑,
77', Grosicki K. ↓, Paryzek P. ↑,
85', Rodrigues I. ↓, Karasek K. ↑,
85', Ndiaye M. ↓, Lewandowski F. ↑,
90+3', Wahlqvist L. 🟨,
90+3', Juwara M. 🟨,
90+5', Karasek K. 🟨,

Preview

Enjoy a game between evenly matched mid-table sides (ranked 12 and 11).

Motor has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Recently, Motor has had a series of home games.

In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.

There will not play in Pogoń Szczecin: Molnar R. (Knee Injury)

There are questionable in Motor: Stolarski P. (Injury)

In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Motor won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 5:9. (average 1.7:3).

Including home match between the teams, Motor won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 4:2.

Outrights of Polish Ekstraklasa for now

Pogon Szczecin: 1.66% Motor Lublin: 0.83%

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
6	Pogon Szczecin	8	4	3	1	12:6	6	15
16	Motor Lublin	9	1	3	5	9:15	-6	6

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Motor Lublin
Club Friendly
16.01.26	Motor Lublin - IMT Novi Beograd	5:1 ✺
09.01.26	Motor Lublin - Stal Stalowa Wola	5:1 ✺
Polish Ekstraklasa
14.12.25	Motor Lublin - Jagiellonia Białystok	1:1 ✺
06.12.25	Arka Gdynia - Motor Lublin	1:0 ✺
01.12.25	Motor Lublin - Legia Warsaw	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8 WWTLT
- Pogoń Szczecin
Club Friendly
10.01.26	Pogoń Szczecin - Swit Skolwin	3:1 ✺
Polish Ekstraklasa
06.12.25	Pogoń Szczecin - Radomiak Radom	2:2 ✺
Polish Cup
02.12.25	Pogoń Szczecin - Widzew Łódź	0:1 ✺
Polish Ekstraklasa
29.11.25	GKS Katowice - Pogoń Szczecin	2:0 ✺
24.11.25	Pogoń Szczecin - Zagłębie Lubin	5:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.4 WTLLW

Latest Head to Head

Polish Ekstraklasa
26.07.25	Pogoń Szczecin - Motor Lublin	4:1
14.05.25	Pogoń Szczecin - Motor Lublin	3:0
02.11.24	Motor Lublin - Pogoń Szczecin	4:2

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