Match Info

Jupiler Pro League - Relegation Group - Round 6

Date: 10 May 2025, Saturday

Location: Guldensporen Stadion (Kortrijk)

Referee: Vergoote J. (Bel)

Where to Watch on TV:


Belgium	DAZN 1, DAZN Pro League 2, Play Sports 1
Japan	DAZN Japan
Netherlands	Sporza


	Kortrijk		Sint-Truidense

	1	X	2
	3.25	3.8	2.05	Watch
	3.1	3.6	2.15
	3.3	3.5	2.1	Watch
	3.43	3.7	2.08
	3.25	3.66	2.13	Watch
	3	3.4	2.25
	3.28	3.84	2.15	Watch
	3.3	3.5	2.1
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.24 ↑ (2.54)	3.63 ↑ (3.52)	2.13 ↓ (2.7)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Kortrijk
29.3%

Draw
26.1%

Sint-Truidense
44.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

37.5%

27.1%

35.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

37.6%

27%

35.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Kortrijk has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.2%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Kortrijk's form might have worsened.

Sint-Truidense has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Sint-Truidense's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Kortrijk than the current prediction. (+8.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Kortrijk, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sint-Truidense than the current prediction. (-9.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Sint-Truidense, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
35.7%	0%	64.3%

Kortrijk - Sint Truidense Predictions

Users Predictions: 14 users predict this event. Kortrijk will win (votes: 5 - 35.7%). Sint-Truidense will win (votes: 9 - 64.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Sint-Truidense: 39.2% – 89.4%.

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH -0.25 - Sint-Truidense (1.82) (votes: 2 - 100%) .

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Sint-Truidense will win (7 of 7 users predict this - 100%) 🥇 Gold Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 9 Selected Experts predict this event. Sint-Truidense (votes: 9 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
13. De Vlaeminck E. (G) 24. Fujii H. 33. Tsunoda R. 5. Ndjeungoue J. 93. Duverne J. 27. Sissako A. 10. Kadri A. 6. Mehssatou Sepulveda N. (C) 8. Karim D. 68. Ambrose T. 23. Ilaimaharitra M.	16. Kokubo L. (G) 20. Van Helden R. (C) 26. Musliu V. 2. Ogawa R. 19. Patris L. 8. Fujita J. 13. Ito R. 94. Lapoussin L. 60. Vanwesemael R. 91. Bertaccini A. 9. Ferrari A.
Substitutes
1. Alliet T. (G) 17. Bruno M. 16. Dejaegere B. 11. De Neve D. 32. Gueye M. 21. Himpe K. 35. Huygevelde N. 18. Kostons K. 26. Lagae B.	7. Brahimi B. 12. Coppens J. (G) 14. Dumont O. 22. Janssens W. 18. Jukleroed S. 41. Komori H. 34. Lambotte H. 5. Taniguchi S. 6. Yamamoto R. 15. Zahiroleslam K.
Coaches
Storck B.	Vrancken W.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 2)
5', 0 - 1, Bertaccini A. ⚽, Ferrari A. (A),
8', 1 - 1, Kadri A. ⚽,
21', 2 - 1, Mehssatou Sepulveda N. ⚽, Duverne J. (A),
37', 2 - 2, Lapoussin L. ⚽, Fujita J. (A),
2nd Half (0 - 0)
49', Van Helden R. 🟨,
61', Vanwesemael R. ↓, Janssens W. ↑,
74', Karim D. ↓, Kostons K. ↑,
74', Mehssatou Sepulveda N. ↓, De Neve D. ↑,
80', Lapoussin L. ↓, Brahimi B. ↑,
81', Ferrari A. ↓, Zahiroleslam K. ↑,
86', Ilaimaharitra M. ↓, Bruno M. ↑,
86', Kadri A. ↓, Dejaegere B. ↑,
87', Patris L. ↓, Taniguchi S. ↑,

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Kortrijk won 1.

Kortrijk is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Sint-Truidense has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Sint-Truidense may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Sint-Truidense is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

There will not play in Kortrijk: Dejaegere B. (Knock) Nacho (Yellow Cards) Pirard L. (Leg Injury)

There are questionable in Kortrijk: Dewaele G. (Knee Injury) Gunnarsson P. (Knock) Mampassi M. (Muscle Injury)

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Kortrijk won 8 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 26:20. (average 1.3:1).

Including home matches between the teams, Kortrijk won 4 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 15:11. (average 1.5:1.1).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- KV Kortrijk
Belgian Jupiler Pro League
03.05.25	Cercle Brugge - Kortrijk	0:2 ✺
25.04.25	Beerschot Wilrijk - Kortrijk	2:0 ✺
12.04.25	Kortrijk - Beerschot Wilrijk	3:2 ✺
06.04.25	Sint-Truidense - Kortrijk	0:3 ✺
30.03.25	Kortrijk - Cercle Brugge	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 19 WLWWT
- Sint-Truidense VV
Belgian Jupiler Pro League
04.05.25	Sint-Truidense - Beerschot Wilrijk	2:1 ✺
26.04.25	Cercle Brugge - Sint-Truidense	3:1 ✺
12.04.25	Sint-Truidense - Cercle Brugge	3:1 ✺
06.04.25	Sint-Truidense - Kortrijk	0:3 ✺
29.03.25	Beerschot Wilrijk - Sint-Truidense	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.3 WLWLW

Latest Head to Head

Belgian Jupiler Pro League
06.04.25	Sint-Truidense - Kortrijk	0:3
01.03.25	Sint-Truidense - Kortrijk	4:2
01.09.24	Kortrijk - Sint-Truidense	1:1
09.02.24	Sint-Truidense - Kortrijk	1:0
06.08.23	Kortrijk - Sint-Truidense	0:1
04.02.23	Sint-Truidense - Kortrijk	1:0
06.08.22	Kortrijk - Sint-Truidense	0:0

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