Match Info

NPL NSW - Round 28

Date: 16 August 2025, Saturday

Location: Popondetta Park (Sydney)


	Mt Druitt Town Rangers		Sydney United

	1	X	2
				Watch
	3.75	3.7	1.78
	2.88	3.5	2.1	Watch
	2.92	3.78	2.21
	3.73	3.04	2.09	Watch
	3.8	3.5	1.8
	3.08	3.46	2.06	Watch
	4.95	4.05	1.54
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.59 ↓ (4.91)	3.58 ↓ (4)	1.94 ↑ (1.55)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Mt Druitt Town Rangers
26%

Draw
26%

Sydney United
48%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

18.5%

22.8%

58.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

18.7%

22.6%

58.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Mt Druitt Town Rangers has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.5%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Mt Druitt Town Rangers's performance.

Sydney United has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-10.7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Sydney United might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Mt Druitt Town Rangers than the current prediction. (-7.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Mt Druitt Town Rangers that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sydney United than the current prediction. (+10.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Sydney United could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Mt Druitt Town Rangers - Sydney United Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH +0.25 - Mt Druitt Rangers (1.96) (votes: 2 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Mt Druitt Rangers (votes: 2 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
35', 0 - 1, Milicevic A. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
90+3', 0 - 2, ⚽,

Preview

Let's watch a game between a leader and an outsider (ranked 15 in the zone NPL NSW (Relegation) and 6 in the zone Promotion ~ NPL NSW (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Mt Druitt Rangers won 1.

Both teams have been playing unpredictably.

Mt Druitt Rangers may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Sydney United is the team to beat.

In the last 10 head-to-head matches, Mt Druitt Rangers won 2 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 12:20. (average 1.2:2).

Including home matches between the teams, Mt Druitt Rangers won 2 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 7:10. (average 1.2:1.7).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Mt Druitt Town Rangers
Australian NPL NSW
09.08.25	Mt Druitt Town Rangers - Wollongong Wolves	3:1 ✺
03.08.25	Blacktown City - Mt Druitt Town Rangers	2:2 ✺
27.07.25	Mt Druitt Town Rangers - APIA Leichhardt Tigers	0:2 ✺
20.07.25	Sydney Olympic - Mt Druitt Town Rangers	1:2 ✺
12.07.25	Mt Druitt Town Rangers - Sydney FC U23	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 34.8 WTLWT
- Sydney United
Australian NPL NSW
13.08.25	Sydney United - Blacktown City	1:0 ✺
Australian Cup
10.08.25	Sydney United - Sydney	0:2 ✺
Australian NPL NSW
03.08.25	Sydney United - St George Saints	1:1 ✺
27.07.25	Rockdale Ilinden - Sydney United	0:0 ✺
Australian Cup
23.07.25	Northern Tigers - Sydney United	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10 WLTTW

Latest Head to Head

Australian NPL NSW
04.05.25	Sydney United - Mt Druitt Town Rangers	2:0
27.05.23	Mt Druitt Town Rangers - Sydney United	1:0
10.02.23	Sydney United - Mt Druitt Town Rangers	3:2
03.06.22	Mt Druitt Town Rangers - Sydney United	2:2
20.03.22	Sydney United - Mt Druitt Town Rangers	2:2
17.04.21	Mt Druitt Town Rangers - Sydney United	0:0
22.08.20	Mt Druitt Town Rangers - Sydney United	4:3

Mt Druitt Town Rangers - Sydney United: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide