The best margin for this event is 8.8%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Mtibwa Sugar 51.8%
Draw 27.6%
Mashujaa 20.6%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
57.9%
25.6%
16.5%
Our Initial ML Estimation
61.7%
24%
15.5%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Mtibwa Sugar has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.1%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Mtibwa Sugar's form might have worsened.
Mashujaa has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.1%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Mtibwa Sugar than the current prediction. (+9.9%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Mtibwa Sugar, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Mashujaa than the current prediction. (-5.1%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Mashujaa, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Mtibwa Sugar - Mashujaa Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
38. Malimi C. (G) 20. Chicharo 29. Chota G. 16. Collins V. 13. Datius P. 69. Evance F. 10. Hafidh R. 25. Hillary A. 6. Lyawatwa H. (C) 21. Magata F. 45. Mkopi S.
18. Johola E. (G) 11. Balama M. 14. Cheda H. 23. Dunia Y. 7. Gamal A. 8. Kihimbwa S. 25. Madeleke S. 27. Mohamed 20. Mwakinyuke M. (C) 49. Said M. 67. Selemani B.
Substitutes
8. Buzungu O. . Deriek . Kazi . Kutisha T. (G) 15. Kyaruzi E. 14. Laurent A. 26. Liuzio J. 27. Manga O. 3. Masai O. 4. Mbigiri S.
37. Bakari A. . Bilal 35. Kanyonga L. (G) 19. Kibaya J. . Magingi F. 22. Mhagama C. 4. Onditi S. 21. Shaban N. 28. Ulomi D. R. 33. Yusuph K.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 1)
20', Mohamed 🟨,
38', 0 - 1, Cheda H. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 2)
46', Balama M. ↓, Onditi S. ↑,
46', Kihimbwa S. ↓, Ulomi D. R. ↑,
57', Hillary A. ↓, Masai O. ↑,
63', Onditi S. 🟨,
67', Said M. ↓, Kibaya J. ↑,
67', Selemani B. ↓, Shaban N. ↑,
75', 0 - 2, Kibaya J. ⚽,
82', 1 - 2, Magata F. (Penalty Awarded),
90', 🟨,
90+2', 1 - 3, Bakari A. ⚽, Ulomi D. R. (A),
90+5', 🟨,
Preview
One team leads the standings, the other sits mid-table (ranked 4 and 10).
Mtibwa Sugar is showing really good form (last 5 games: 3 wins).
Mashujaa is on a losing streak (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
Mashujaa may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
Recently, Mtibwa Sugar has had a series of home games.
Recently, Mashujaa has had a series of away games.
In this match, Mtibwa Sugar is a strong favorite.
We predict that Mtibwa Sugar will win today's game, with odds of 1.59.
In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Mtibwa Sugar won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 2:2. (average 1:1).
Including home match between the teams, Mtibwa Sugar won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:1.
Africa
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Malimi C. (G) 
Collins V. 
Cheda H. 
Mohamed 
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