Match Info

ASIA: AFC Champions League 2 - Round 6

Date: 5 December 2024, Thursday

Location: Thunderdome Stadium (Nonthaburi)

Where to Watch on TV:


Argentina	Disney+
Asia	beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA AFC 2, beIN Sports MENA AFC 2, beIN Sports MENA AFC 2, TOD
Bosnia-and-herzegovina	Sportklub 6
Brazil	Disney+
Chile	Disney+
China	Migu, QQ Sports
Colombia	Disney+
Croatia	SportKlub 6
Germany	Sportdigital FUSSBALL 2
Hong-kong	HOY TV
India	FanCode, FanCode, Vision+
Indonesia	RCTI+
Iraq	Al Rabiaa Sport
Kyrgyzstan	KTRK Sports
Macao	Macau Cable TV 34 Football
Malaysia	Astro Arena Bola 2, Astro Go, Sooka
Mexico	Disney+
Montenegro	Sportklub 6
North-macedonia	Sportklub 6
Peru	Disney+
Russia	TV Start Triumph
Slovenia	SportKlub 1
Switzerland	Blue Sport 1, Blue Sport 1
Ukraine	Sport 1, Sport 3
Uruguay	Disney+
Venezuela	Disney+
Vietnam	FPT Play
World	Disney+, Onefootball, Triller TV+


	Muangthong United		Jeonbuk Hyundai Motors

	1	X	2
				Watch
	1.36	4.5	6.25
	1.4	4.75	6.5	Watch
	1.41	4.75	6.04
	1.37	5.15	6.1	Watch
	1.38	4.9	6.49	Watch
	1.4	4.75	6.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.39 ↓ (2.42)	4.8 ↑ (3.49)	6.31 ↑ (2.49)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 7.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Muangthong United
66.3%

Draw
19.2%

Jeonbuk Hyundai Motors
14.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

37.5%

26%

36.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

38.6%

26.7%

35.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Muangthong United has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+28.8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Muangthong United's performance.

Jeonbuk Hyundai Motors has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-21.9%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Jeonbuk Hyundai Motors might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Muangthong United than the current prediction. (-27.7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Muangthong United that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Jeonbuk Hyundai Motors than the current prediction. (+20.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Jeonbuk Hyundai Motors could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
72.7%	0%	27.3%

Muangthong United - Jeonbuk Hyundai Motors Predictions

Users Predictions: 10 users predict this event. Muangthong United will win (votes: 8 - 80%). Jeonbuk Motors will win (votes: 2 - 20%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Muangthong United: 55.2% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Phuthawchueak K. (G) 20. Strauss J. 5. Otakhonov A. 21. Thodsanit P. 22. Cissokho A. 14. Panthong S. 37. Autra P. (C) 19. Do T. 34. Khamyok K. 10. Arjvirai P. 9. Brown F.	31. Gong Si-Hyeon (G) 25. Choi Chul-Soon 15. Koo Ja-Ryong (C) 36. Jang Nam-ung 21. Park Chang-Woo 37. Park Jun-Beom 6. Lee Soo-Bin 50. Jin Si-woo 99. Kim Chang-hoon 70. Park Si-hwa 61. Jin Tae-Ho
Substitutes
24. Chaikultewin W. 13. Daengsee S. 29. Kraikruan S. 17. Laohabut T. 16. Praisuwan J. 25. Rakyart S. (G) 11. Roback E. 3. Saengdao C. 15. Sattham J. 18. Tasa K. 40. Wettayawong K. 6. Yoryoei T.	63. Han Seok-Jin 55. Hwang Jae-yun (G) 22. Jeong Woo-Jae 62. Seo Jeong-Hyeok
Coaches
Lettieri G.	Kim Do-Heon

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
35', Otakhonov A. 🟨,
39', Jang Nam-ung 🟨,
45+1', 1 - 0, Thodsanit P. ⚽, Khamyok K. (A),
2nd Half (0 - 0)
54', Strauss J. 🟨,
54', Lee Soo-Bin ↓, Han Seok-Jin ↑,
67', Thodsanit P. ↓, Tasa K. ↑,
72', Choi Chul-Soon 🟨,
73', Arjvirai P. 🟨,
78', Kim Chang-hoon ↓, Seo Jeong-Hyeok ↑,
78', Jang Nam-ung ↓, Jeong Woo-Jae ↑,
78', Khamyok K. ↓, Roback E. ↑,
84', Autra P. ↓, Wettayawong K. ↑,

Preview

Jeonbuk Motors is Qualified for AFC Champions League 2 (Play Offs 1/8~finals)

Muangthong United is in actual amazing shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Jeonbuk Motors is in super shape now and in the last match got series of victories (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Muangthong United could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Muangthong United is a favorite.

Our prediction for today's Muangthong United to win the game is with odds 1.77.

Last 3 head-to-head matches Muangthong United won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 3:8 (average 1:2.7).

Including matches at home between the teams Muangthong United won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2:2

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Muangthong United
AFC Champions League 2
28.11.24	Selangor FA - Muangthong United	1:2 ✺
Thai League 1
23.11.24	Muangthong United - Bangkok United	2:1 ✺
11.11.24	Muangthong United - Nakhon Pathom United	3:1 ✺
AFC Champions League 2
07.11.24	Cebu FC - Muangthong United	2:9 ✺
Thai League 1
02.11.24	Muangthong United - Prachuap	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.8 WWWWL
- Jeonbuk Hyundai Motors
South Korean K-League 1
01.12.24	Seoul E-Land - Jeonbuk Hyundai Motors	1:2 ✺
AFC Champions League 2
28.11.24	Jeonbuk Hyundai Motors - Cebu FC	4:0 ✺
South Korean K-League 1
24.11.24	Gwangju - Jeonbuk Hyundai Motors	1:1 ✺
10.11.24	Jeonbuk Hyundai Motors - Daegu	3:1 ✺
AFC Champions League 2
07.11.24	Jeonbuk Hyundai Motors - Selangor FA	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.4 WWTWW

Latest Head to Head

AFC Champions League 2
03.10.24	Jeonbuk Hyundai Motors - Muangthong United	4:1
AFC Champions League
24.04.13	Jeonbuk Hyundai Motors - Muangthong United	2:0
26.02.13	Muangthong United - Jeonbuk Hyundai Motors	2:2

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