Match Info

K League 1 - Round 3

Date: 14 March 2026, Saturday

Location: Gwangju Football Stadium (Gwangju)

Where to Watch on TV:


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Germany	Laola1
Russia	TV Start
South-korea	Coupang Play, JTBC Golf&Sports
Switzerland	LAOLA1


	Gwangju		Jeonbuk Hyundai Motors

	1	X	2
	4	3.2	1.9	Watch
	3.9	3.15	1.92
	4.42	3.41	1.97
	4.18	3.36	1.9	Watch
	4	3.1	1.91
	4.14	3.25	1.93	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.11 ↑ (3.22)	3.25 ↑ (3.14)	1.92 ↓ (2.26)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 2.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Gwangju
22.7%

Draw
28.7%

Jeonbuk Hyundai Motors
48.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

29%

29.7%

41.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Gwangju has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.3%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Gwangju's form might have worsened.

Jeonbuk Hyundai Motors has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Jeonbuk Hyundai Motors's recent form is better than expected.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
14.3%	0%	85.7%

Gwangju - Jeonbuk Hyundai Motors Predictions

Users Predictions: 7 users predict this event. Gwangju will win (votes: 1 - 14.3%). Jeonbuk Motors will win (votes: 6 - 85.7%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Jeonbuk Hyundai Motors will win (4 of 4 users predict this - 100%) 🥈 Silver Tip.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Kim Kyeong-min (G) 27. Kim Jin-Ho 24. Yong-Wook K. 6. Ahn Young-Kyu (C) 22. Kwon Sung-Yun 40. Shin Chang-Moo 14. Yu Je-Ho 88. Moon Min-seo 9. Ha Seung-Un 10. Choi Kyoung-Rok 13. Park Jeong-In	31. Song Bum-Keun (G) 23. Kim Tae-Hwan (C) 4. Cho Wi-Je 2. Kim Young-Bin 77. Kim Tae-Hyeon 8. Oberdan 97. Kim Jin-gyu 7. Lee Dong-Jun 13. Kang Sang-Yoon 11. Kim Seung-Sub 9. Tiago Orobo
Substitutes
11. Fridjonsson H. 26. Gong B. 99. Hong Yong-Jun 16. Joung Ji-hun 8. Ju Se-Jong 42. Kang Hui-Su 25. Kim Yun-ho 3. Lee Min-Ki 21. Roh Hee-Dong (G)	99. Bruno Mota 66. Choi Woo-Jin 17. Jin Tae-Ho 1. Lee Ju-hyeon (G) 24. Lee Sang-myung 10. Lee Seung-Woo 28. Lee Yeong-Jae 6. Maeng Seong-Ung 3. Yeon Je-Woon
Coaches
Lee J.	Chung Jung-Yong

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
9', Kwon Sung-Yun 🟨,
43', Tiago Orobo 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Kwon Sung-Yun ↓, Ju Se-Jong ↑,
46', Park Jeong-In ↓, Fridjonsson H. ↑,
46', Tiago Orobo ↓, Bruno Mota ↑,
57', Fridjonsson H. 🟨,
62', Kim Seung-Sub ↓, Lee Seung-Woo ↑,
69', Kang Sang-Yoon 🟨,
74', Lee Dong-Jun ↓, Jin Tae-Ho ↑,
74', Oberdan ↓, Maeng Seong-Ung ↑,
77', Cho Wi-Je 🟨,
80', Ju Se-Jong 🟨,
80', Choi Kyoung-Rok ↓, Kang Hui-Su ↑,
86', Kim Tae-Hyeon ↓, Choi Woo-Jin ↑,
86', Fridjonsson H. ↓, Kim Yun-ho ↑,
86', Ahn Young-Kyu ↓, Gong B. ↑,

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Gwangju won 0.

Jeonbuk Motors has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Jeonbuk Motors is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Gwangju won 2 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 15 matches, and goals 15:40. (average 0.8:2).

Including home matches between the teams, Gwangju won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 9:17. (average 0.9:1.7).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
5	Jeonbuk	31	11	11	9	39:30	9	44
12	Gwangju FC ✔	31	2	12	17	25:66	-41	18

Last Results with these Odds

Jeonbuk Hyundai Motors - the odds 2.26 are the expected chance of winning is 41.29%, but this team recently wins 18% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Gwangju FC
South Korean K-League 1
07.03.26	Gwangju - Incheon United	3:2 ✺
01.03.26	Jeju - Gwangju	0:0 ✺
South Korean Cup
05.12.25	Gwangju - Jeonbuk Hyundai Motors	1:2 ET ✺
South Korean K-League 1
30.11.25	Suwon - Gwangju	0:1 ✺
22.11.25	Gwangju - Ulsan HD	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.8 WTLWW
- Jeonbuk Hyundai Motors
South Korean K-League 1
08.03.26	Gimcheon Sangmu - Jeonbuk Hyundai Motors	1:1 ✺
01.03.26	Jeonbuk Hyundai Motors - Bucheon	2:3 ✺
Club Friendly
08.02.26	Jeonbuk Hyundai Motors - Malmö	2:1 ✺
04.02.26	Vancouver Whitecaps - Jeonbuk Hyundai Motors	Canceled ✺
24.01.26	Sigma Olomouc - Jeonbuk Hyundai Motors	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.2 TLW?T

Latest Head to Head

South Korean Cup
05.12.25	Gwangju - Jeonbuk Hyundai Motors	1:2 ET
South Korean K-League 1
26.07.25	Gwangju - Jeonbuk Hyundai Motors	1:2
11.05.25	Gwangju - Jeonbuk Hyundai Motors	0:1
23.02.25	Jeonbuk Hyundai Motors - Gwangju	2:2
24.11.24	Gwangju - Jeonbuk Hyundai Motors	1:1
09.08.24	Jeonbuk Hyundai Motors - Gwangju	0:1
19.05.24	Gwangju - Jeonbuk Hyundai Motors	0:3

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