Match Info
Tercera RFEF - Group 13 - Round 23Date: 22 February 2026, Sunday
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Muleño |
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Atlético Santa Cruz |
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1 |
X |
2 |
|
 |
2.72 |
2.98 |
2.45 |
|
 |
6.84 |
4.31 |
1.42 |
 Watch |
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2.8 |
2.75 |
2.5 |
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2.74 |
2.89 |
2.49 |
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Avarage Now
(Initially) |
3.78 ↑
(2.55) |
3.23 ↑
(3.1) |
2.22 ↓
(2.45) |
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- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
- The best margin for this event is 8.2%, offered by
#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+ Current Win Probability
Muleño
25.8% | Draw
30.2% | Atlético Santa Cruz
44% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Muleño has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.1%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Muleño's form might have worsened.Atlético Santa Cruz has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.7%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Atlético Santa Cruz's recent form is better than expected.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Muleño than the current prediction. (+11.5%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Muleño, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Atlético Santa Cruz than the current prediction. (-10%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Atlético Santa Cruz, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.Muleño - Atlético Santa Cruz Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1 
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Key Events of the Match
- 1st Half (0 - 1)
- 10', 0 - 1, ⚽,
- 2nd Half (0 - 3)
- 50', 0 - 2, ⚽,
- 80', 0 - 3, ⚽,
- 84', 0 - 4, ⚽,
Preview
An outsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 16 in the zone Relegation and 7).Muleño has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 1 wins).Santa Cruz is going through a rough patch (in the last 5 games, wins – 1). The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.In the last 1 head-to-head match, Muleño won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:1.
Standings
| | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
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| 9 | Santa Cruz | 5 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 8:8 | 0 | 6 |
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Form
✺ - easy match;
✺ - difficult match;
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